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DreamLeague Season 22 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:1
series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Gaimin Gladiatorsloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 26 games
77%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
MieRo · 25 games
64%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
Save- · 23 games
74%
Invoker
Invokersignature
gpK~ · 17 games
65%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
Nightfall · 16 games
75%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 15 games
60%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
TORONTOTOKYO · 14 games
36%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Save- · 14 games
57%

Gaimin Gladiators

Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Quinn · 27 games
70%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
dyrachyo · 21 game
57%
Muerta
Muerta
tOfu · 19 games
58%
Alchemist
Alchemistsignature
dyrachyo · 18 games
67%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
Seleri · 15 games
67%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spiritsignature
Seleri · 15 games
67%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
tOfu · 14 games
71%
Sven
Sven
dyrachyo · 14 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
371 picks · 338 bans
53%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
332 picks · 318 bans
52%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
318 picks · 475 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
290 picks · 400 bans
55%
Techies
Techies
278 picks · 193 bans
55%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
275 picks · 148 bans
52%
Pangolier
Pangolier
270 picks · 402 bans
51%
Batrider
Batrider
264 picks · 462 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)41% vs 42%
Hero pool strength52% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head7 – 2
Model total56% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct21:11
BETBOOM TEAM 54%Gaimin Gladiators 46%
The model gave 54% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 41:20.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Lancer
Phantom LancerNightfall
52% · 66 games55% · 194 games
Terrorbladedyrachyo
Terrorblade
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightgpK~
47% · 115 games53% · 13 games
DazzleQuinn
Dazzle
Omniknight
OmniknightMieRo
50% · 6 games50% · 119 games
MarsAce
Mars
Mirana
MiranaTORONTOTOKYO
58% · 129 games42% · 167 games
WindrangertOfu
Windranger
Techies
TechiesSave-
51% · 276 games43% · 99 games
Vengeful SpiritSeleri
Vengeful Spirit
Game 2prediction missed7:22
BETBOOM TEAM 55%Gaimin Gladiators 45%
The model gave 55% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 32:26.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
MedusaNightfall
53% · 89 games49% · 87 games
RazorQuinn
Razor
Puck
PuckgpK~
53% · 149 games52% · 112 games
Anti-Magedyrachyo
Anti-Mage
Mars
MarsMieRo
51% · 121 game40% · 179 games
Centaur WarrunnerAce
Centaur Warrunner
Lion
LionSave-
51% · 139 games51% · 84 games
GyrocoptertOfu
Gyrocopter
Undying
UndyingTORONTOTOKYO
53% · 98 games48% · 134 games
Crystal MaidenSeleri
Crystal Maiden
Game 3prediction correct24:8
BETBOOM TEAM 56%Gaimin Gladiators 44%
The model gave 56% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 32:50.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
MorphlingNightfall
44% · 271 game49% · 116 games
Anti-Magedyrachyo
Anti-Mage
Beastmaster
BeastmasterMieRo
52% · 274 games47% · 231 game
PuckQuinn
Puck
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritgpK~
55% · 302 games51% · 155 games
Centaur WarrunnerAce
Centaur Warrunner
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightSave-
57% · 192 games45% · 548 games
RubicktOfu
Rubick
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaidenTORONTOTOKYO
49% · 162 games50% · 151 game
Vengeful SpiritSeleri
Vengeful Spirit
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 56%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3