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DreamLeague Season 22. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Brightloss 1:2
series probability
13%87%
probability at match start · final 1:2
G2 Invictus Gamingwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Bright

Doom
Doomoften banned
Irving · 7 games
43%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
Irving · 7 games
57%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
phoenix · 6 games
50%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Undyne_ · 5 games
80%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
phoenix · 5 games
40%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
phoenix · 5 games
60%
Silencer
Silencer
Undyne_ · 5 games
40%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Undyne_ · 4 games
50%

G2 Invictus Gaming

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
254 picks · 427 bans
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
250 picks · 350 bans
54%
Phoenix
Phoenix
247 picks · 379 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
214 picks · 200 bans
46%
Muerta
Muerta
204 picks · 281 bans
49%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
203 picks · 519 bans
52%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
197 picks · 98 bans
52%
Pugna
Pugna
181 picks · 325 bans
58%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Team Bright
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total87% G2 Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed25:13
Team Bright 13%G2 Invictus Gaming 87%
The model gave 87% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Team Bright in 34:24.
Game 2prediction correct6:16
Team Bright 13%G2 Invictus Gaming 87%
The model gave 87% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by G2 Invictus Gaming in 26:48.
Game 3prediction correct6:34
Team Bright 13%G2 Invictus Gaming 87%
The model gave 87% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by G2 Invictus Gaming in 37:16.
Model check result
Model favoriteG2 Invictus Gaming · 87%
Series resultG2 Invictus Gaming 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3