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DreamLeague Season 21 · BO3
result vs prediction
OGwin 2:0
series probability
35%65%
probability at match start · final 2:0
9Pandasloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

OG

Rubick
Rubick
Taiga · 28 games
54%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
Ceb · 19 games
68%
Slark
Slarkoften banned
Yuragi · 18 games
50%
Doom
Doomoften banned
DM · 17 games
53%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Chuvash · 17 games
47%
Venomancer
Venomancersignature
DM · 17 games
71%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
DM · 16 games
50%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
bzm · 16 games
56%

9Pandas

Doom
Doomsignature
MieRo · 48 games
67%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
Antares · 41 game
59%
Techies
Techies
Antares · 35 games
54%
Alchemist
Alchemistsignature
RAMZES666 · 32 games
78%
Rubick
Rubick
Antares · 32 games
53%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
MieRo · 31 game
65%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
kiyotaka · 30 games
60%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
MieRo · 29 games
55%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
351 picks · 174 bans
45%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
267 picks · 363 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
216 picks · 440 bans
53%
Undying
Undying
215 picks · 382 bans
45%
Batrider
Batrider
214 picks · 307 bans
56%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
213 picks · 345 bans
50%
Dark Seer
Dark Seer
211 picks · 405 bans
51%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
206 picks · 451 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)27% vs 43%
Hero pool strength54% 9Pandas
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total65% 9Pandas
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed51:11
OG 42%9Pandas 58%
The model gave 58% on 9Pandas — the game was taken by OG in 47:13.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Assassin
Phantom AssassinYuragi
41% · 42 games53% · 74 games
Puckkiyotaka
Puck
Razor
RazorMinD_ContRoL
52% · 45 games54% · 52 games
GyrocopterRAMZES666
Gyrocopter
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritbzm
45% · 46 games48% · 11 games
AxeMieRo
Axe
Treant Protector
Treant ProtectorCeb
50% · 96 games51% · 66 games
Shadow DemonAntares
Shadow Demon
53% · 26 games
Elder TitanSolo
Elder Titan
Game 2prediction missed35:33
OG 43%9Pandas 57%
The model gave 57% on 9Pandas — the game was taken by OG in 45:27.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Assassin
Phantom AssassinYuragi
42% · 52 games49% · 127 games
Monkey Kingkiyotaka
Monkey King
Dark Seer
Dark SeerMinD_ContRoL
54% · 179 games56% · 45 games
GyrocopterRAMZES666
Gyrocopter
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritbzm
54% · 474 games42% · 33 games
Centaur WarrunnerMieRo
Centaur Warrunner
Brewmaster
BrewmasterCeb
58% · 55 games48% · 369 games
RubickAntares
Rubick
42% · 186 games
UndyingSolo
Undying
Model check result
Model favorite9Pandas · 65%
Series resultOG 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2