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Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 3. Восточная Европа. Первый дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Hydraloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Death Prophet
Death Prophetsignature
Nightfall · 19 games
63%
Rubick
Rubick
Save- · 19 games
58%
Tiny
Tiny
Save- · 14 games
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 13 games
77%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
gpK~ · 13 games
69%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
Save- · 13 games
69%
Mirana
Miranasignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 12 games
67%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
gpK~ · 11 games
55%

Hydra

Tusk
Tusksignature
Lefitan · 27 games
78%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Cloud · 23 games
65%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Worick · 20 games
70%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
HappyDyurara · 20 games
65%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
Lefitan · 13 games
77%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Kami · 13 games
54%
Lycan
Lycansignature
Cloud · 12 games
75%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Lefitan · 12 games
58%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
761 picks · 607 bans
47%
Disruptor
Disruptor
552 picks · 470 bans
54%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
424 picks · 1007 bans
58%
Tiny
Tiny
417 picks · 379 bans
52%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
400 picks · 941 bans
51%
Doom
Doom
395 picks · 600 bans
53%
Undying
Undying
392 picks · 603 bans
49%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
386 picks · 662 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)30% vs 43%
Hero pool strength55% Hydra
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total70% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct38:12
BETBOOM TEAM 58%Hydra 42%
The model gave 58% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 39:03.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassingpK~
55% · 179 games62% · 52 games
MedusaKami
Medusa
Bloodseeker
BloodseekerNightfall
49% · 126 games47% · 165 games
DoomCloud
Doom
Axe
AxePure~
50% · 20 games37% · 64 games
InvokerWorick
Invoker
Enchantress
EnchantressSave-
47% · 358 games46% · 275 games
RubickLil
Rubick
Lich
LichTORONTOTOKYO
52% · 88 games55% · 215 games
MiranaHappyDyurara
Mirana
Game 2prediction correct40:15
BETBOOM TEAM 57%Hydra 43%
The model gave 57% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 33:08.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
MedusaNightfall
55% · 49 games56% · 103 games
AlchemistKami
Alchemist
Tidehunter
TidehunterPure~
47% · 41 game43% · 46 games
WindrangerWorick
Windranger
Void Spirit
Void SpiritgpK~
42% · 86 games61% · 112 games
TimbersawCloud
Timbersaw
Enchantress
EnchantressSave-
45% · 209 games54% · 71 game
TechiesLil
Techies
Undying
UndyingTORONTOTOKYO
45% · 138 games52% · 191 game
Crystal MaidenHappyDyurara
Crystal Maiden
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 70%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2