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Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 2. Восточная Европа. Второй дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
MoneyMakersloss 0:2
series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 0:2
cybercatswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

MoneyMakers

Rubick
Rubick
CeMaTheSlayeR · 15 games
47%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
CeMaTheSlayeR · 12 games
58%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Bb3px · 10 games
40%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Lukas · 9 games
56%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Bignum · 8 games
75%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Egor · 8 games
38%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
Egor · 6 games
50%
Naga Siren
Naga Sirenoften banned
Lukas · 6 games
50%

cybercats

Tiny
Tiny
Chira JUNIOR · 13 games
54%
Rubick
Rubick
jesv · 12 games
42%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
forcemajor · 10 games
50%
Lycan
Lycanoften banned
DkFogas · 10 games
30%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
forcemajor · 10 games
60%
Disruptor
Disruptor
forcemajor · 8 games
38%
Doom
Doomoften banned
zenica · 8 games
38%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Alberkaaa · 8 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
1006 picks · 683 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
658 picks · 483 bans
52%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
608 picks · 955 bans
53%
Tusk
Tusk
556 picks · 435 bans
48%
Snapfire
Snapfire
521 picks · 360 bans
45%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
518 picks · 1175 bans
51%
Disruptor
Disruptor
512 picks · 368 bans
56%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
498 picks · 370 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 45%
Hero pool strength54% MoneyMakers
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% cybercats
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct11:32
MoneyMakers 49%cybercats 51%
The model gave 51% on cybercats — the game was taken by cybercats in 42:47.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightLukas
53% · 260 games51% · 180 games
TerrorbladeAlberkaaa
Terrorblade
Batrider
BatriderEgor
55% · 240 games46% · 164 games
Primal BeastDkFogas
Primal Beast
Snapfire
SnapfireCeMaTheSlayeR
45% · 524 games54% · 197 games
Storm SpiritChira JUNIOR
Storm Spirit
Enchantress
EnchantressBignum
52% · 329 games45% · 340 games
Undyingforcemajor
Undying
48% · 472 games
Rubickjesv
Rubick
Game 2prediction missed17:41
MoneyMakers 51%cybercats 49%
The model gave 51% on MoneyMakers — the game was taken by cybercats in 43:55.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger
Drow RangerLukas
40% · 200 games64% · 107 games
Monkey KingAlberkaaa
Monkey King
Zeus
ZeusEgor
43% · 183 games49% · 187 games
Death ProphetDkFogas
Death Prophet
Elder Titan
Elder TitanCeMaTheSlayeR
46% · 42 games54% · 99 games
Dragon KnightChira JUNIOR
Dragon Knight
Disruptor
DisruptorBignum
50% · 321 game50% · 182 games
Clockwerkjesv
Clockwerk
63% · 171 game
Miranaforcemajor
Mirana
Model check result
Model favoritecybercats · 54%
Series resultcybercats 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 2