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Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
X3win 2:0
series probability
34%66%
probability at match start · final 2:0
No Sorryloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

X3

Bane
Bane
Kidaro · 10 games
10%
Outworld Destroyer
Outworld Destroyeroften banned
NattyNarwhal · 8 games
38%
Lina
Linaoften banned
NattyNarwhal · 6 games
33%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Kidaro · 5 games
40%
Phantom Lancer
Phantom Lanceroften banned
DarkLord^ · 5 games
40%
Razor
Razoroften banned
Antares · 5 games
20%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
DarkLord^ · 4 games
75%
Puck
Puckoften banned
NattyNarwhal · 4 games
25%

No Sorry

Bane
Bane
BLACKARXANGEL · 6 games
50%
Mars
Marsoften banned
LastHero- · 6 games
33%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
LastHero- · 4 games
75%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
y0nd · 4 games
50%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Worick · 4 games
25%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
BLACKARXANGEL · 4 games
50%
Legion Commander
Legion Commanderoften banned
LastHero- · 4 games
25%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Worick · 3 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
429 picks · 262 bans
55%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
378 picks · 491 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
354 picks · 498 bans
53%
Weaver
Weaver
341 picks · 485 bans
51%
Kunkka
Kunkka
281 picks · 478 bans
50%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
262 picks · 398 bans
55%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
257 picks · 175 bans
46%
Wraith King
Wraith King
246 picks · 334 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 44%
Hero pool strength54% No Sorry
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total66% No Sorry
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed30:14
X3 41%No Sorry 59%
The model gave 59% on No Sorry — the game was taken by X3 in 30:02.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
Medusanesfeer
51% · 204 games58% · 140 games
TinyDinozavrik
Tiny
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightNattyNarwhal
49% · 82 games51% · 109 games
InvokerWorick
Invoker
Timbersaw
TimbersawMastery
47% · 172 games54% · 65 games
BeastmasterLastHero-
Beastmaster
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamanvelheor
38% · 70 games45% · 130 games
Hoodwinky0nd
Hoodwink
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful SpiritKidaro
45% · 53 games58% · 137 games
BaneBLACKARXANGEL
Bane
Game 2prediction missed31:12
X3 39%No Sorry 61%
The model gave 61% on No Sorry — the game was taken by X3 in 30:12.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
Morphlingnesfeer
47% · 134 games55% · 200 games
TinyDinozavrik
Tiny
Void Spirit
Void SpiritNattyNarwhal
45% · 227 games53% · 99 games
Dark SeerLastHero-
Dark Seer
Pangolier
PangolierMastery
50% · 166 games51% · 289 games
InvokerWorick
Invoker
Hoodwink
Hoodwinkvelheor
44% · 158 games51% · 208 games
Clockwerky0nd
Clockwerk
Bane
BaneKidaro
49% · 218 games55% · 107 games
Keeper of the LightBLACKARXANGEL
Keeper of the Light
Model check result
Model favoriteNo Sorry · 66%
Series resultX3 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2