?
arrow_backBack to match
Dota 2 Champions League 2021 Season 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Uniquewin 2:1
series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Team Empireloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Unique

No games played over 6 months.

Team Empire

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
sayuw · 26 games
65%
Invoker
Invokersignature
kiyotaka · 19 games
79%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
VANSKOR · 17 games
59%
Lina
Linasignature
kiyotaka · 13 games
69%
Luna
Lunasignature
Smiling Knight · 10 games
80%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
Petushara · 10 games
50%
Abaddon
Abaddonsignature
VANSKOR · 9 games
78%
Mars
Marssignature
Shachlo · 9 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
401 picks · 181 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
360 picks · 130 bans
49%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
283 picks · 583 bans
57%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
275 picks · 358 bans
49%
Mars
Mars
270 picks · 434 bans
48%
Puck
Puck
262 picks · 579 bans
50%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
261 picks · 243 bans
54%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
246 picks · 524 bans
58%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 61%
Hero pool strength59% Team Empire
Head-to-head3 – 1
Model total58% Team Empire
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct12:26
Team Unique 42%Team Empire 58%
The model gave 58% on Team Empire — the game was taken by Team Empire in 37:14.
Game 2prediction correct15:22
Team Unique 42%Team Empire 58%
The model gave 58% on Team Empire — the game was taken by Team Empire in 37:49.
Game 3prediction correct29:20
Team Unique 42%Team Empire 58%
The model gave 58% on Team Empire — the game was taken by Team Empire in 43:33.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Empire · 58%
Series resultTeam Unique 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game3 of 3