Into The Breach vs Team Bald Reborn — prediction DPC2S—Е2Д 2 · Dota 2

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Dota Pro Circuit 2021: Season 2 — Европа 2-й дивизион · BO3

result vs prediction

Into The Breachloss 0:2

series probability

45%55%

probability at match start · final 0:2

Team Bald Rebornwin 2:0

The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.

Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months

Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Into The Breach

Invokeroften banned

Supream^ · 5 games

80%

Juggernautoften banned

Charlie · 5 games

60%

Snapfire

Xibbe · 5 games

80%

Winter Wyvern

Xibbe · 5 games

80%

Linaoften banned

Supream^ · 4 games

75%

Magnusoften banned

Chessie · 4 games

100%

Marsoften banned

Chessie · 4 games

100%

Rubick

Era · 4 games

50%

Team Bald Reborn

Earth Spiritoften banned

5up · 3 games

33%

Grimstroke

Pablo · 3 games

33%

Juggernautoften banned

Gorgc · 2 games

50%

Linaoften banned

5up · 2 games

Pangolieroften banned

Rajjix · 2 games

50%

Snapfire

Pablo · 2 games

Void Spiritoften banned

Rajjix · 2 games

50%

Arc Wardenoften banned

Excalibur · 1 game

100%

Patch meta · 3 months

The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.

Puck

411 picks · 940 bans

50%

Void Spirit

374 picks · 537 bans

50%

Death Prophet

349 picks · 698 bans

54%

Mars

327 picks · 549 bans

54%

Grimstroke

313 picks · 311 bans

49%

Tusk

297 picks · 220 bans

52%

Lion

283 picks · 155 bans

48%

Earth Spirit

270 picks · 281 bans

53%

Prediction components

Form (series winrate)50% vs 64%

Hero pool strength62% Into The Breach

Head-to-head0 – 0

Model total55% Team Bald Reborn

Prediction by game vs result

Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.

Game 1prediction correct27:43

Into The Breach 45%Team Bald Reborn 55%

The model gave 55% on Team Bald Reborn — the game was taken by Team Bald Reborn in 56:46.

Game 2prediction correct29:33

Into The Breach 45%Team Bald Reborn 55%

The model gave 55% on Team Bald Reborn — the game was taken by Team Bald Reborn in 40:51.

Model check result

Model favoriteTeam Bald Reborn · 55%

Series resultTeam Bald Reborn 0:2

Series predictioncorrect

Accuracy by game2 of 2