Positive Fire Games · BO3
result vs prediction
V-Gamingwin 2:1series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 2:1
HFloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
V-Gaming
Marsoften banned
laise · 7 games
Lionsignature
ArrOw · 6 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
hAze · 5 games
Rubick
ArrOw · 4 games
Alchemistoften banned
TA2000 · 3 games
Oracleoften banned
Malady · 3 games
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Dodren · 3 games
Shadow Shaman
ArrOw · 3 games
HF
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
443 picks · 987 bans
Void Spirit
420 picks · 584 bans
Death Prophet
366 picks · 702 bans
Mars
350 picks · 606 bans
Earth Spirit
319 picks · 308 bans
Grimstroke
298 picks · 260 bans
Tusk
297 picks · 188 bans
Phoenix
279 picks · 401 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 57%
Hero pool strength53% V-Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% HF
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteHF · 59%
Series resultV-Gaming 2:1
Series predictionmissed