?
arrow_backBack to match
ONE Esports Singapore Major 2021 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Liquidloss 0:2
series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Neon Esportswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Liquid

Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
Taiga · 15 games
53%
Puck
Pucksignature
miCKe · 14 games
64%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
iNSaNiA · 11 games
55%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
Boxi · 9 games
67%
Oracle
Oracleoften banned
iNSaNiA · 8 games
38%
Tusk
Tusk
Taiga · 8 games
50%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
iNSaNiA · 7 games
86%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
miCKe · 7 games
29%

Neon Esports

Puck
Pucksignature
Yopaj · 11 games
73%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
PlayHard · 10 games
80%
Troll Warlord
Troll Warlordoften banned
Natsumi · 10 games
50%
Tusk
Tusk
Jaunuel · 9 games
56%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Yopaj · 8 games
50%
Elder Titan
Elder Titansignature
Jaunuel · 8 games
63%
Mirana
Mirana
Skem · 8 games
50%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
Skem · 7 games
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
435 picks · 992 bans
51%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
412 picks · 602 bans
54%
Mars
Mars
360 picks · 640 bans
51%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
325 picks · 626 bans
56%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
320 picks · 277 bans
51%
Rubick
Rubick
263 picks · 176 bans
50%
Wraith King
Wraith King
258 picks · 425 bans
56%
Phoenix
Phoenix
256 picks · 367 bans
60%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 58%
Hero pool strength54% Neon Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Neon Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct16:29
Team Liquid 50%Neon Esports 50%
The model gave 50% on Neon Esports — the game was taken by Neon Esports in 33:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Bloodseeker
BloodseekermiCKe
30% · 46 games51% · 69 games
Nature's ProphetSkem
Nature's Prophet
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritqojqva
52% · 47 games56% · 186 games
PuckYopaj
Puck
Mars
MarsBoxi
51% · 145 games39% · 38 games
LeshracDeth
Leshrac
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritTaiga
50% · 128 games62% · 99 games
PangolierPlayHard
Pangolier
Death Prophet
Death ProphetiNSaNiA
51% · 134 games45% · 108 games
OracleJaunuel
Oracle
Game 2prediction missed15:39
Team Liquid 52%Neon Esports 48%
The model gave 52% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Neon Esports in 29:32.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritmiCKe
49% · 71 game50% · 34 games
Nature's ProphetSkem
Nature's Prophet
Razor
Razorqojqva
58% · 18 games48% · 45 games
BatriderYopaj
Batrider
Tiny
TinyTaiga
52% · 9 games46% · 20 games
LeshracDeth
Leshrac
Alchemist
AlchemistBoxi
46% · 26 games50% · 79 games
Earth SpiritPlayHard
Earth Spirit
Death Prophet
Death ProphetiNSaNiA
56% · 104 games44% · 50 games
OracleJaunuel
Oracle
Model check result
Model favoriteNeon Esports · 51%
Series resultNeon Esports 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 2