Estar Backs vs chandogs — prediction EOB2ОК · Dota 2

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ESL One Birmingham 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO3

result vs prediction

Estar Backswin 2:0

series probability

63%37%

probability at match start · final 2:0

chandogsloss 0:2

The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.

Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months

Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Estar Backs

Disruptor

Accel · 9 games

44%

Alchemist

bsK7- · 5 games

40%

Hoodwink

Michael · 4 games

25%

Jakirooften banned

Accel · 4 games

25%

Omniknight

bsK7- · 4 games

25%

Snapfire

Michael · 4 games

50%

Tusk

Accel · 4 games

50%

Batrideroften banned

Michael · 3 games

33%

chandogs

No games played over 6 months.

Patch meta · 3 months

The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.

Jakiro

555 picks · 738 bans

50%

Tusk

496 picks · 353 bans

48%

Dragon Knight

472 picks · 643 bans

51%

Centaur Warrunner

444 picks · 544 bans

56%

Shadow Demon

378 picks · 635 bans

54%

Gyrocopter

365 picks · 546 bans

51%

Hoodwink

356 picks · 167 bans

53%

Snapfire

354 picks · 116 bans

48%

Prediction components

Form (series winrate)56% vs 50%

Hero pool strength53% chandogs

Head-to-head0 – 0

Model total63% Estar Backs

Prediction by game vs result

Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.

Game 1prediction correct29:33

Estar Backs 58%chandogs 42%

The model gave 58% on Estar Backs — the game was taken by Estar Backs in 44:53.

Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo