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BLAST Slam VI. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Pasika UAwin 1:0
series probability
25%75%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Zero Tenacityloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Pasika UA

No games played over 6 months.

Zero Tenacity

Puck
Puckoften banned
Mirage · 42 games
52%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Se · 41 game
61%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Se · 32 games
56%
Tusk
Tusk
yamich · 26 games
54%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Nefrit · 25 games
68%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Nande · 25 games
40%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
dEsire · 25 games
64%
Underlord
Underlord
Nefrit · 25 games
56%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
609 picks · 620 bans
49%
Snapfire
Snapfire
519 picks · 203 bans
49%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
515 picks · 691 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
512 picks · 326 bans
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
464 picks · 231 bans
53%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
442 picks · 532 bans
54%
Mars
Mars
407 picks · 553 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
388 picks · 565 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 54%
Hero pool strength54% Zero Tenacity
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total75% Zero Tenacity
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed35:26
Pasika UA 25%Zero Tenacity 75%
The model gave 75% on Zero Tenacity — the game was taken by Pasika UA in 1:01:15.
Model check result
Model favoriteZero Tenacity · 75%
Series resultPasika UA 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1