BLAST Slam VI. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs predictionPUPasika UAwin 1:0
series probability
25%75%
probability at match start · final 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Pasika UA
No games played over 6 months.
Zero Tenacity
Puckoften banned
Mirage · 42 games
Disruptorsignature
Se · 41 game
Enchantressoften banned
Se · 32 games
Tusk
yamich · 26 games
Beastmastersignature
Nefrit · 25 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Nande · 25 games
Hoodwinksignature
dEsire · 25 games
Underlord
Nefrit · 25 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
609 picks · 620 bans
Snapfire
519 picks · 203 bans
Dragon Knight
515 picks · 691 bans
Tusk
512 picks · 326 bans
Hoodwink
464 picks · 231 bans
Centaur Warrunner
442 picks · 532 bans
Mars
407 picks · 553 bans
Pangolier
388 picks · 565 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 54%
Hero pool strength54% Zero Tenacity
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total75% Zero Tenacity
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed35:26
Pasika UA 25%Zero Tenacity 75%
The model gave 75% on Zero Tenacity — the game was taken by Pasika UA in 1:01:15.
Model check result
Model favoriteZero Tenacity · 75%
Series resultPasika UA 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1