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DreamLeague Season 27 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Falconsloss 0:2
series probability
78%22%
probability at match start · final 0:2
PARIVISIONwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Falcons

Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
ATF · 38 games
68%
Chen
Chensignature
Sneyking · 34 games
74%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
Sneyking · 28 games
71%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Sneyking · 27 games
56%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Malr1ne · 24 games
75%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Skiter · 22 games
82%
Weaver
Weaversignature
Skiter · 22 games
73%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Cr1t- · 21 game
71%

PARIVISION

Chen
Chenoften banned
Dukalis · 22 games
59%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
DM · 21 game
43%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
9Class · 21 game
71%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
Satanic · 15 games
60%
Puck
Pucksignature
No[o]ne · 15 games
67%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painsignature
No[o]ne · 15 games
80%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
No[o]ne · 15 games
47%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Satanic · 15 games
47%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
775 picks · 359 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
612 picks · 305 bans
52%
Jakiro
Jakiro
592 picks · 534 bans
49%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
583 picks · 729 bans
50%
Disruptor
Disruptor
554 picks · 550 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
548 picks · 334 bans
51%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
510 picks · 589 bans
54%
Mars
Mars
509 picks · 767 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)80% vs 55%
Hero pool strength56% Team Falcons
Head-to-head5 – 4
Model total78% Team Falcons
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed28:39
Team Falcons 68%PARIVISION 32%
The model gave 68% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 50:41.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ursa
UrsaSkiter
49% · 176 games43% · 168 games
AbaddonSatanic
Abaddon
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerATF
51% · 209 games56% · 103 games
Void SpiritNo[o]ne
Void Spirit
Sniper
SniperMalr1ne
56% · 33 games44% · 182 games
MarsDM
Mars
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath MageCr1t-
50% · 66 games48% · 43 games
Slark9Class
Slark
Venomancer
VenomancerSneyking
60% · 32 games54% · 20 games
MiranaDukalis
Mirana
Game 2prediction missed29:32
Team Falcons 66%PARIVISION 34%
The model gave 66% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 1:11:11.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetMalr1ne
57% · 231 game45% · 92 games
Troll WarlordSatanic
Troll Warlord
Slardar
SlardarATF
54% · 195 games44% · 201 game
Queen of PainNo[o]ne
Queen of Pain
Windranger
WindrangerSkiter
45% · 86 games45% · 74 games
EnigmaDM
Enigma
Venomancer
VenomancerSneyking
51% · 68 games55% · 150 games
ChenDukalis
Chen
Bounty Hunter
Bounty HunterCr1t-
54% · 153 games47% · 216 games
Batrider9Class
Batrider
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Falcons · 78%
Series resultPARIVISION 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2