BLAST Slam V · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Falconswin 1:0series probability
84%16%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Team Yandexloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Falcons
Pangoliersignature
Malr1ne · 32 games
Chensignature
Sneyking · 28 games
Pugnasignature
Sneyking · 27 games
Enchantressoften banned
Sneyking · 23 games
Sand Kingsignature
Malr1ne · 22 games
Weaversignature
Skiter · 21 game
Marssignature
ATF · 19 games
Bristlebacksignature
ATF · 17 games
Team Yandex
Nature's Prophetsignature
Watson · 21 game
Pangoliersignature
Noticed · 21 game
Warlock
Solo · 19 games
Tusk
Malady · 17 games
Hoodwinksignature
prblms · 16 games
Jakirosignature
Malady · 16 games
Gyrocoptersignature
TA2000 · 15 games
Axesignature
Noticed · 14 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
778 picks · 357 bans
Disruptor
583 picks · 583 bans
Hoodwink
570 picks · 300 bans
Jakiro
480 picks · 303 bans
Dragon Knight
475 picks · 559 bans
Tusk
469 picks · 270 bans
Mars
458 picks · 749 bans
Puck
436 picks · 1113 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)80% vs 69%
Hero pool strength57% Team Falcons
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total84% Team Falcons
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct33:16
Team Falcons 70%Team Yandex 30%
The model gave 70% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 34:05.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
GyrocopterSkiter
JuggernautWatson
DoomATF
Sand KingChira JUNIOR
PangolierMalr1ne
MarsNoticed
Naga SirenSneyking
TinySaksa
RingmasterCr1t-
SnapfireMalady
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Falcons · 84%
Series resultTeam Falcons 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1