Riyadh Masters 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Nemiga Gamingloss 0:1series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 0:1
eSpoiledwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Nemiga Gaming
Jakiro
monodrama · 10 games
Tinyoften banned
bashka · 10 games
Sand Kingoften banned
спортик · 8 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Covisnine · 7 games
Muerta
Shishak · 6 games
Phantom Assassinoften banned
bashka · 6 games
Earthshaker
спортик · 5 games
Windranger
xsvampire · 5 games
eSpoiled
Ursaoften banned
ssnovv1 · 4 games
Windranger
Wein · 4 games
Tusk
Wein · 3 games
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
asdekor_r · 2 games
Naga Sirenoften banned
asdekor_r · 2 games
Oracleoften banned
asdekor_r · 2 games
Bane
asdekor_r · 1 game
Bounty Hunter
Wein · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
481 picks · 448 bans
Tiny
474 picks · 557 bans
Ringmaster
446 picks · 229 bans
Terrorblade
350 picks · 686 bans
Storm Spirit
310 picks · 471 bans
Ancient Apparition
303 picks · 706 bans
Tusk
298 picks · 249 bans
Windranger
291 picks · 88 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 60%
Hero pool strength57% eSpoiled
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total62% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed12:31
Nemiga Gaming 55%eSpoiled 45%
The model gave 55% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by eSpoiled in 41:45.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphlingbashka
Templar Assassinssnovv1
Ember Spirityoung G
Baneasdekor_r
PangolierCovisnine
TuskWein
Miranaxsvampire
Shadow Shamanmonodrama
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 62%
Series resulteSpoiled 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1