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Riyadh Masters 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Nemiga Gamingloss 0:1
series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 0:1
eSpoiledwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Nemiga Gaming

Jakiro
Jakiro
monodrama · 10 games
30%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
bashka · 10 games
20%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
спортик · 8 games
0%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Covisnine · 7 games
71%
Muerta
Muerta
Shishak · 6 games
33%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinoften banned
bashka · 6 games
33%
Earthshaker
Earthshaker
спортик · 5 games
60%
Windranger
Windranger
xsvampire · 5 games
20%

eSpoiled

Ursa
Ursaoften banned
ssnovv1 · 4 games
50%
Windranger
Windranger
Wein · 4 games
25%
Tusk
Tusk
Wein · 3 games
33%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
asdekor_r · 2 games
50%
Naga Siren
Naga Sirenoften banned
asdekor_r · 2 games
50%
Oracle
Oracleoften banned
asdekor_r · 2 games
0%
Bane
Bane
asdekor_r · 1 game
100%
Bounty Hunter
Bounty Hunter
Wein · 1 game
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
481 picks · 448 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
474 picks · 557 bans
51%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
446 picks · 229 bans
51%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
350 picks · 686 bans
47%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
310 picks · 471 bans
53%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
303 picks · 706 bans
56%
Tusk
Tusk
298 picks · 249 bans
46%
Windranger
Windranger
291 picks · 88 bans
45%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 60%
Hero pool strength57% eSpoiled
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total62% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed12:31
Nemiga Gaming 55%eSpoiled 45%
The model gave 55% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by eSpoiled in 41:45.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
Morphlingbashka
50% · 130 games47% · 160 games
Templar Assassinssnovv1
Templar Assassin
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirityoung G
58% · 115 games55% · 40 games
Baneasdekor_r
Bane
Pangolier
PangolierCovisnine
43% · 189 games46% · 371 game
TuskWein
Tusk
Mirana
Miranaxsvampire
60% · 74 games
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamanmonodrama
52% · 63 games
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 62%
Series resulteSpoiled 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1