The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs predictionseries probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Tech Free Gaming
Dragon Knightoften banned
TraVins · 4 games
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Varizh · 3 games
Dark Seeroften banned
db- · 3 games
Morphlingoften banned
TraVins · 3 games
Pangolieroften banned
MamangDaya · 3 games
Tinyoften banned
MamangDaya · 3 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
Varizh · 2 games
Riki
dalul · 2 games
InterActive Philippines
Linasignature
Nishababy · 6 games
Puckoften banned
Nishababy · 4 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
Nishababy · 3 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Nishababy · 2 games
Invokeroften banned
Nishababy · 2 games
Magnusoften banned
Nishababy · 2 games
Tinyoften banned
Nishababy · 2 games
Earth Spirit
Nishababy · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
479 picks · 455 bans
Tiny
459 picks · 534 bans
Ringmaster
438 picks · 215 bans
Terrorblade
343 picks · 624 bans
Storm Spirit
303 picks · 431 bans
Ancient Apparition
291 picks · 631 bans
Tusk
286 picks · 206 bans
Windranger
274 picks · 78 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)64% vs 63%
Hero pool strength57% Tech Free Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total61% Tech Free Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed31:51
Tech Free Gaming 60%InterActive Philippines 40%
The model gave 60% on Tech Free Gaming — the game was taken by InterActive Philippines in 49:17.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
RazorTraVins
Queen of PainNishababy
TinyMamangDaya
Venomancerdb-
GyrocopterVarizh
Shadow Shamandalul
Model check result
Model favoriteTech Free Gaming · 61%
Series resultInterActive Philippines 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1