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The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Tech Free Gamingloss 0:1
series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 0:1
InterActive Philippineswin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Tech Free Gaming

Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
TraVins · 4 games
50%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Varizh · 3 games
67%
Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
db- · 3 games
67%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
TraVins · 3 games
33%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
MamangDaya · 3 games
100%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
MamangDaya · 3 games
67%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Varizh · 2 games
100%
Riki
Riki
dalul · 2 games
100%

InterActive Philippines

Lina
Linasignature
Nishababy · 6 games
67%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Nishababy · 4 games
50%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Nishababy · 3 games
0%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Nishababy · 2 games
100%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Nishababy · 2 games
50%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
Nishababy · 2 games
0%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Nishababy · 2 games
50%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
Nishababy · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
479 picks · 455 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
459 picks · 534 bans
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
438 picks · 215 bans
52%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
343 picks · 624 bans
46%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
303 picks · 431 bans
54%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
291 picks · 631 bans
56%
Tusk
Tusk
286 picks · 206 bans
47%
Windranger
Windranger
274 picks · 78 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)64% vs 63%
Hero pool strength57% Tech Free Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total61% Tech Free Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed31:51
Tech Free Gaming 60%InterActive Philippines 40%
The model gave 60% on Tech Free Gaming — the game was taken by InterActive Philippines in 49:17.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Razor
RazorTraVins
59% · 13 games36% · 83 games
Queen of PainNishababy
Queen of Pain
Tiny
TinyMamangDaya
59% · 35 games
Venomancer
Venomancerdb-
60% · 6 games
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterVarizh
74% · 19 games
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamandalul
64% · 10 games
Model check result
Model favoriteTech Free Gaming · 61%
Series resultInterActive Philippines 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1