Amaru Gaming vs KRD — prediction EWCD2ОК 2026 · Dota 2

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Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2. Открытые квалификации · BO3

result vs prediction

Amaru Gamingwin 2:0

series probability

86%14%

probability at match start · final 2:0

KKRDloss 0:2

The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.

Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months

Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Amaru Gaming

Hoodwinksignature

Michael · 10 games

60%

Tidehunteroften banned

Oscar · 10 games

50%

Jakiro

Gardick · 9 games

33%

Kezsignature

Wits · 9 games

78%

Treant Protectoroften banned

Gardick · 8 games

50%

Axesignature

Oscar · 6 games

67%

Brewmasteroften banned

Oscar · 6 games

33%

Centaur Warrunneroften banned

Oscar · 6 games

50%

KRD

No games played over 6 months.

Patch meta · 3 months

The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.

Hoodwink

570 picks · 353 bans

54%

Phoenix

482 picks · 572 bans

50%

Rubick

463 picks · 243 bans

49%

Tiny

437 picks · 377 bans

50%

Pangolier

388 picks · 541 bans

48%

Puck

332 picks · 881 bans

52%

Beastmaster

322 picks · 813 bans

47%

Tusk

312 picks · 267 bans

53%

Prediction components

Form (series winrate)56% vs 50%

Hero pool strength51% Amaru Gaming

Head-to-head0 – 0

Model total86% Amaru Gaming

Prediction by game vs result

Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.

Game 1prediction correct47:10

Amaru Gaming 72%KRD 28%

The model gave 72% on Amaru Gaming — the game was taken by Amaru Gaming in 25:30.

Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo