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The Bali Major 2023 · BO2
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:1
series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Azure Rayloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Save- · 26 games
62%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
Save- · 26 games
65%
Doom
Doomsignature
Pure~ · 25 games
68%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
Save- · 23 games
61%
Tiny
Tiny
gpK~ · 23 games
57%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Nightfall · 21 game
57%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 21 game
71%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 18 games
72%

Azure Ray

Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
BEYOND · 11 games
73%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
fy · 10 games
80%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
7e · 9 games
67%
Riki
Rikisignature
天命 · 9 games
67%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
zzq · 8 games
75%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
lou · 8 games
88%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
天命 · 8 games
63%
Silencer
Silencersignature
天命 · 8 games
63%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
690 picks · 473 bans
47%
Techies
Techies
623 picks · 652 bans
55%
Doom
Doom
572 picks · 1118 bans
53%
Disruptor
Disruptor
516 picks · 493 bans
52%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
515 picks · 1250 bans
57%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
492 picks · 1054 bans
50%
Enchantress
Enchantress
467 picks · 693 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
450 picks · 926 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 62%
Hero pool strength52% Azure Ray
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% Azure Ray
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed41:14
BETBOOM TEAM 48%Azure Ray 52%
The model gave 52% on Azure Ray — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 31:54.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Bloodseeker
BloodseekerNightfall
52% · 169 games54% · 145 games
Alchemistlou
Alchemist
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritgpK~
51% · 219 games45% · 315 games
Ember SpiritSomnus
Ember Spirit
Underlord
UnderlordPure~
50% · 132 games57% · 52 games
Legion CommanderChalice
Legion Commander
Pugna
PugnaSave-
54% · 142 games48% · 159 games
Skywrath Magefy
Skywrath Mage
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaidenTORONTOTOKYO
46% · 278 games48% · 269 games
Enchantress天命
Enchantress
Game 2prediction correct17:26
BETBOOM TEAM 47%Azure Ray 53%
The model gave 53% on Azure Ray — the game was taken by Azure Ray in 41:35.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Bloodseeker
BloodseekerNightfall
43% · 188 games55% · 138 games
Naga Sirenlou
Naga Siren
Dark Seer
Dark SeerPure~
55% · 107 games39% · 71 game
Legion CommanderChalice
Legion Commander
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritgpK~
49% · 389 games49% · 368 games
PangolierSomnus
Pangolier
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonSave-
56% · 134 games53% · 331 game
Batriderfy
Batrider
Silencer
SilencerTORONTOTOKYO
49% · 267 games49% · 177 games
Pugna天命
Pugna
Model check result
Model favoriteAzure Ray · 55%
Accuracy by game1 of 2