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FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMloss 0:2
series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Falconswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 28 games
79%
Tusk
Tusk
Kataomi · 26 games
54%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Save- · 22 games
68%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Save- · 22 games
64%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 20 games
75%
Invoker
Invokersignature
kiyotaka · 19 games
84%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Pure~ · 18 games
56%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Pure~ · 16 games
69%

Team Falcons

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Cr1t- · 39 games
69%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
ATF · 35 games
60%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Sneyking · 33 games
94%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Malr1ne · 28 games
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Skiter · 27 games
74%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Malr1ne · 26 games
73%
Alchemist
Alchemistsignature
Skiter · 24 games
79%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Cr1t- · 24 games
63%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
Muerta
481 picks · 418 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
457 picks · 555 bans
54%
Batrider
Batrider
446 picks · 561 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
440 picks · 550 bans
53%
Lion
Lion
422 picks · 232 bans
53%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
419 picks · 787 bans
56%
Tiny
Tiny
412 picks · 443 bans
51%
Magnus
Magnus
396 picks · 833 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)68% vs 60%
Hero pool strength51% Team Falcons
Head-to-head3 – 10
Model total54% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed17:36
BETBOOM TEAM 52%Team Falcons 48%
The model gave 52% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 47:39.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
MorphlingPure~
51% · 246 games49% · 71 game
LycanSkiter
Lycan
Doom
DoomMieRo
53% · 197 games49% · 225 games
MagnusMalr1ne
Magnus
Invoker
InvokergpK~
54% · 152 games47% · 201 game
MarsATF
Mars
Zeus
ZeusSave-
53% · 72 games54% · 243 games
EnchantressSneyking
Enchantress
Lich
LichKataomi
48% · 103 games33% · 30 games
Bounty HunterCr1t-
Bounty Hunter
Game 2prediction missed22:46
BETBOOM TEAM 50%Team Falcons 50%
The model gave 50% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 52:22.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Assassin
Phantom AssassinPure~
52% · 113 games56% · 188 games
LifestealerSkiter
Lifestealer
Tiny
TinygpK~
54% · 570 games43% · 435 games
PangolierMalr1ne
Pangolier
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerMieRo
51% · 380 games45% · 114 games
DawnbreakerATF
Dawnbreaker
Grimstroke
GrimstrokeSave-
54% · 205 games46% · 412 games
BatriderCr1t-
Batrider
Lich
LichKataomi
50% · 186 games50% · 305 games
PhoenixSneyking
Phoenix
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 54%
Series resultTeam Falcons 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2