FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BETBOOM TEAM
Muertasignature
Save- · 28 games
Tusk
Kataomi · 26 games
Batridersignature
Save- · 22 games
Shadow Demonsignature
Save- · 22 games
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 20 games
Invokersignature
kiyotaka · 19 games
Morphlingoften banned
Pure~ · 18 games
Dragon Knightsignature
Pure~ · 16 games
Team Falcons
Hoodwinksignature
Cr1t- · 39 games
Bristlebacksignature
ATF · 35 games
Enchantresssignature
Sneyking · 33 games
Pangolieroften banned
Malr1ne · 28 games
Dragon Knightsignature
Skiter · 27 games
Sand Kingsignature
Malr1ne · 26 games
Alchemistsignature
Skiter · 24 games
Batridersignature
Cr1t- · 24 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
481 picks · 418 bans
Phoenix
457 picks · 555 bans
Batrider
446 picks · 561 bans
Clockwerk
440 picks · 550 bans
Lion
422 picks · 232 bans
Gyrocopter
419 picks · 787 bans
Tiny
412 picks · 443 bans
Magnus
396 picks · 833 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)68% vs 60%
Hero pool strength51% Team Falcons
Head-to-head3 – 10
Model total54% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed17:36
BETBOOM TEAM 52%Team Falcons 48%
The model gave 52% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 47:39.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
MorphlingPure~
LycanSkiter
DoomMieRo
MagnusMalr1ne
InvokergpK~
MarsATF
ZeusSave-
EnchantressSneyking
LichKataomi
Bounty HunterCr1t-
Game 2prediction missed22:46
BETBOOM TEAM 50%Team Falcons 50%
The model gave 50% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 52:22.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom AssassinPure~
LifestealerSkiter
TinygpK~
PangolierMalr1ne
Centaur WarrunnerMieRo
DawnbreakerATF
GrimstrokeSave-
BatriderCr1t-
LichKataomi
PhoenixSneyking
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 54%
Series resultTeam Falcons 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2