BLAST Slam VII · BO1
result vs predictionseries probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BETBOOM TEAM
Hoodwinksignature
Save- · 34 games
Jakiro
Kataomi · 29 games
Windrangersignature
Save- · 29 games
Tusksignature
Kataomi · 28 games
Beastmastersignature
gpK~ · 22 games
Kezsignature
Kiritych · 22 games
Muertaoften banned
Kiritych · 21 game
Storm Spiritoften banned
gpK~ · 19 games
Team Liquid
Tinysignature
miCKe · 37 games
Tusksignature
Boxi · 36 games
Windrangersignature
miCKe · 31 game
Hoodwinksignature
Boxi · 29 games
Storm Spiritsignature
Nisha · 27 games
Ember Spiritsignature
Nisha · 25 games
Kezsignature
miCKe · 23 games
Largosignature
tOfu · 23 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
552 picks · 343 bans
Phoenix
477 picks · 564 bans
Rubick
446 picks · 234 bans
Tiny
427 picks · 359 bans
Pangolier
370 picks · 508 bans
Puck
324 picks · 849 bans
Beastmaster
313 picks · 801 bans
Jakiro
313 picks · 213 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 58%
Hero pool strength50% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head5 – 5
Model total51% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed30:54
BETBOOM TEAM 50%Team Liquid 50%
The model gave 50% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 1:05:59.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
AlchemistKiritych
TinymiCKe
LycanMieRo
Storm SpiritNisha
SnapfiregpK~
Night StalkerAce
LionSave-
SilencertOfu
OracleKataomi
IoBoxi
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 51%
Series resultTeam Liquid 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 1