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BLAST Slam VII · BO1
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMloss 0:1
series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Team Liquidwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Save- · 34 games
65%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Kataomi · 29 games
55%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
Save- · 29 games
66%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Kataomi · 28 games
64%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
gpK~ · 22 games
73%
Kez
Kezsignature
Kiritych · 22 games
82%
Muerta
Muertaoften banned
Kiritych · 21 game
57%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
gpK~ · 19 games
58%

Team Liquid

Tiny
Tinysignature
miCKe · 37 games
68%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Boxi · 36 games
61%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
miCKe · 31 game
71%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Boxi · 29 games
69%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Nisha · 27 games
63%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Nisha · 25 games
64%
Kez
Kezsignature
miCKe · 23 games
61%
Largo
Largosignature
tOfu · 23 games
61%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
552 picks · 343 bans
54%
Phoenix
Phoenix
477 picks · 564 bans
51%
Rubick
Rubick
446 picks · 234 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
427 picks · 359 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
370 picks · 508 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
324 picks · 849 bans
52%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
313 picks · 801 bans
47%
Jakiro
Jakiro
313 picks · 213 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 58%
Hero pool strength50% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head5 – 5
Model total51% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed30:54
BETBOOM TEAM 50%Team Liquid 50%
The model gave 50% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 1:05:59.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Alchemist
AlchemistKiritych
54% · 78 games50% · 168 games
TinymiCKe
Tiny
Lycan
LycanMieRo
57% · 68 games50% · 181 game
Storm SpiritNisha
Storm Spirit
Snapfire
SnapfiregpK~
46% · 213 games47% · 46 games
Night StalkerAce
Night Stalker
Lion
LionSave-
46% · 110 games47% · 115 games
SilencertOfu
Silencer
Oracle
OracleKataomi
54% · 59 games51% · 18 games
IoBoxi
Io
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 51%
Series resultTeam Liquid 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 1