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DreamLeague Season 29. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Breeki Cheekiloss 1:2
series probability
23%77%
probability at match start · final 1:2
HULIGANIwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Breeki Cheeki

Slardar
Slardaroften banned
ChodΣX · 4 games
75%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
OneJey · 3 games
67%
Muerta
Muerta
DarkLord^ · 2 games
100%
Puck
Puckoften banned
спортик · 2 games
100%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
ChodΣX · 2 games
100%
Bane
Bane
asdekor_r · 1 game
100%
Bristleback
Bristleback
ChodΣX · 1 game
100%
Chen
Chenoften banned
asdekor_r · 1 game
100%

HULIGANI

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Bb3px · 43 games
72%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Bb3px · 41 game
49%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
slimeyao · 40 games
70%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
RESPECT · 37 games
49%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Magesignature
slimeyao · 37 games
68%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
erase · 33 games
61%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
Bb3px · 31 game
58%
Tiny
Tiny
erase · 30 games
57%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
637 picks · 694 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
513 picks · 450 bans
48%
Tusk
Tusk
488 picks · 398 bans
50%
Warlock
Warlock
433 picks · 288 bans
48%
Phoenix
Phoenix
412 picks · 373 bans
55%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
390 picks · 1084 bans
56%
Puck
Puck
387 picks · 818 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
380 picks · 563 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)71% vs 60%
Hero pool strength51% Breeki Cheeki
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total77% HULIGANI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct5:17
Breeki Cheeki 35%HULIGANI 65%
The model gave 65% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 40:42.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Weaver
WeaverDarkLord^
46% · 110 games54% · 64 games
Faceless Voidssnovv1
Faceless Void
Timbersaw
TimbersawChodΣX
53% · 167 games51% · 246 games
Queen of PainMirage
Queen of Pain
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritспортик
47% · 290 games48% · 196 games
BristlebackCorrupted
Bristleback
Phoenix
Phoenixasdekor_r
46% · 215 games47% · 81 game
RubickRESPECT
Rubick
Magnus
MagnusOneJey
50% · 67 games57% · 262 games
Shadow Demonsayuw
Shadow Demon
Game 2prediction missed23:21
Breeki Cheeki 33%HULIGANI 67%
The model gave 67% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by Breeki Cheeki in 47:45.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Beastmaster
BeastmasterDarkLord^
49% · 409 games50% · 262 games
Abaddonssnovv1
Abaddon
Viper
Viperспортик
48% · 137 games52% · 256 games
Ember SpiritMirage
Ember Spirit
Batrider
BatriderChodΣX
48% · 415 games48% · 226 games
SlardarCorrupted
Slardar
Chen
Chenasdekor_r
54% · 240 games55% · 266 games
Hoodwinksayuw
Hoodwink
Magnus
MagnusOneJey
48% · 87 games48% · 278 games
RingmasterRESPECT
Ringmaster
Game 3prediction correct17:31
Breeki Cheeki 35%HULIGANI 65%
The model gave 65% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 44:26.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
LunaDarkLord^
49% · 83 games58% · 63 games
Faceless Voidssnovv1
Faceless Void
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritспортик
50% · 396 games47% · 114 games
DawnbreakerCorrupted
Dawnbreaker
Tidehunter
TidehunterChodΣX
52% · 210 games45% · 246 games
Queen of PainMirage
Queen of Pain
Phoenix
Phoenixasdekor_r
45% · 207 games49% · 271 game
BatriderRESPECT
Batrider
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightOneJey
48% · 129 games58% · 331 game
Shadow Demonsayuw
Shadow Demon
Model check result
Model favoriteHULIGANI · 77%
Series resultHULIGANI 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3