?
arrow_backBack to match
Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 1. Восточная Европа. Второй дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
cybercatswin 2:0
series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 2:0
HFloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

cybercats

Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Hduo · 16 games
44%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Fezor · 16 games
50%
Dazzle
Dazzlesignature
Hduo · 15 games
67%
Lycan
Lycanoften banned
DkFogas · 12 games
42%
Visage
Visageoften banned
DkFogas · 12 games
58%
Marci
Marcioften banned
Hduo · 11 games
36%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Egor · 11 games
55%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Fezor · 10 games
40%

HF

Tiny
Tiny
nicky`cool · 10 games
30%
Tusk
Tusk
toshiyb · 10 games
40%
Techies
Techies
weebian · 9 games
56%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Actor · 7 games
14%
Lycan
Lycanoften banned
Actor · 7 games
43%
Mirana
Mirana
SOhY · 7 games
29%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectoroften banned
SOhY · 7 games
43%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
SOhY · 6 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
610 picks · 393 bans
53%
Tusk
Tusk
541 picks · 523 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
529 picks · 431 bans
48%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
419 picks · 499 bans
56%
Mirana
Mirana
379 picks · 372 bans
54%
Snapfire
Snapfire
354 picks · 188 bans
46%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
316 picks · 764 bans
48%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
313 picks · 206 bans
58%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)39% vs 31%
Hero pool strength55% cybercats
Head-to-head1 – 2
Model total69% cybercats
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct29:14
cybercats 60%HF 40%
The model gave 60% on cybercats — the game was taken by cybercats in 39:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lina
LinaAlberkaaa
54% · 260 games49% · 99 games
Ursaxannii
Ursa
Leshrac
LeshracChira JUNIOR
52% · 230 games54% · 239 games
Pangoliererase
Pangolier
Tidehunter
Tidehunterzenica
49% · 153 games47% · 236 games
MarsActor
Mars
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonjesv
50% · 104 games47% · 346 games
Rubickweebian
Rubick
Clockwerk
Clockwerkforcemajor
53% · 299 games44% · 126 games
SilencerSOhY
Silencer
Game 2prediction correct22:7
cybercats 60%HF 40%
The model gave 60% on cybercats — the game was taken by cybercats in 35:07.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeAlberkaaa
55% · 186 games44% · 162 games
Monkey Kingxannii
Monkey King
Leshrac
LeshracChira JUNIOR
53% · 218 games54% · 237 games
Pangoliererase
Pangolier
Tidehunter
Tidehunterzenica
49% · 147 games49% · 181 game
BeastmasterActor
Beastmaster
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonjesv
49% · 94 games44% · 309 games
Rubickweebian
Rubick
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorforcemajor
55% · 333 games46% · 89 games
PhoenixSOhY
Phoenix
Model check result
Model favoritecybercats · 69%
Series resultcybercats 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2