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The International 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Edgewin 2:0
series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 2:0
AllStarsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Edge

Ringmaster
Ringmaster
Yadomi · 10 games
40%
Muerta
Muerta
Michael · 9 games
22%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
Vitaly · 8 games
25%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
PiPi · 7 games
14%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Yadomi · 6 games
17%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Vitaly · 6 games
33%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
Vitaly · 5 games
20%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
Vitaly · 5 games
20%

AllStars

Warlock
Warlock
Accel · 5 games
100%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Sacred · 4 games
50%
Omniknight
Omniknightoften banned
blessed kid · 4 games
50%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Benjimon · 4 games
75%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
bsK7- · 3 games
67%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Benjimon · 3 games
33%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
bsK7- · 3 games
67%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
Sacred · 2 games
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
487 picks · 446 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
483 picks · 568 bans
51%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
451 picks · 232 bans
51%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
351 picks · 714 bans
46%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
317 picks · 729 bans
55%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
315 picks · 492 bans
53%
Tusk
Tusk
304 picks · 256 bans
48%
Windranger
Windranger
293 picks · 93 bans
45%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)26% vs 57%
Hero pool strength64% AllStars
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total74% Edge
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct30:13
Edge 60%AllStars 40%
The model gave 60% on Edge — the game was taken by Edge in 30:03.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
Medusapayk
49% · 37 games48% · 138 games
Queen of PainBenjimon
Queen of Pain
Beastmaster
BeastmasterVitaly
48% · 88 games56% · 53 games
Omniknightblessed kid
Omniknight
Tiny
TinyPiPi
44% · 128 games54% · 204 games
WarlockAccel
Warlock
Batrider
BatriderMichael
45% · 95 games
Ancient Apparition
Ancient ApparitionYadomi
54% · 47 games
Game 2prediction correct49:18
Edge 64%AllStars 36%
The model gave 64% on Edge — the game was taken by Edge in 33:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger
Drow Rangerpayk
63% · 4 games50% · 96 games
Kunkkablessed kid
Kunkka
Death Prophet
Death ProphetPiPi
50% · 8 games51% · 48 games
LeshracBenjimon
Leshrac
Pangolier
PangolierVitaly
50% · 89 games39% · 22 games
DisruptorAccel
Disruptor
Riki
RikiMichael
44% · 8 games
Ringmaster
RingmasterYadomi
56% · 57 games
Model check result
Model favoriteEdge · 74%
Series resultEdge 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2