The International 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Edgewin 2:0series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 2:0
AllStarsloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Edge
Ringmaster
Yadomi · 10 games
Muerta
Michael · 9 games
Sand Kingoften banned
Vitaly · 8 games
Tinyoften banned
PiPi · 7 games
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Yadomi · 6 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Vitaly · 6 games
Brewmasteroften banned
Vitaly · 5 games
Bristlebackoften banned
Vitaly · 5 games
AllStars
Warlock
Accel · 5 games
Marsoften banned
Sacred · 4 games
Omniknightoften banned
blessed kid · 4 games
Queen of Painoften banned
Benjimon · 4 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
bsK7- · 3 games
Pangolieroften banned
Benjimon · 3 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
bsK7- · 3 games
Abaddonoften banned
Sacred · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
487 picks · 446 bans
Tiny
483 picks · 568 bans
Ringmaster
451 picks · 232 bans
Terrorblade
351 picks · 714 bans
Ancient Apparition
317 picks · 729 bans
Storm Spirit
315 picks · 492 bans
Tusk
304 picks · 256 bans
Windranger
293 picks · 93 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)26% vs 57%
Hero pool strength64% AllStars
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total74% Edge
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct30:13
Edge 60%AllStars 40%
The model gave 60% on Edge — the game was taken by Edge in 30:03.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusapayk
Queen of PainBenjimon
BeastmasterVitaly
Omniknightblessed kid
TinyPiPi
WarlockAccel
BatriderMichael
Ancient ApparitionYadomi
Game 2prediction correct49:18
Edge 64%AllStars 36%
The model gave 64% on Edge — the game was taken by Edge in 33:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Rangerpayk
Kunkkablessed kid
Death ProphetPiPi
LeshracBenjimon
PangolierVitaly
DisruptorAccel
RikiMichael
RingmasterYadomi
Model check result
Model favoriteEdge · 74%
Series resultEdge 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2