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The International 2025 · BO3
result vs prediction
Heroicwin 2:0
series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 2:0
BOOM Esportsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Heroic

Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
Scofield · 26 games
58%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
4nalog · 19 games
32%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
4nalog · 19 games
37%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Scofield · 15 games
67%
Dark Seer
Dark Seersignature
Wisper · 15 games
67%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
Wisper · 15 games
47%
Phoenix
Phoenix
KJ · 15 games
53%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
4nalog · 14 games
64%

BOOM Esports

Tiny
Tiny
Tims · 18 games
50%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
JaCkky · 16 games
56%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
Armel · 14 games
64%
Mirana
Mirana
Tims · 12 games
50%
Silencer
Silenceroften banned
Jaunuel · 12 games
42%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
Armel · 11 games
36%
Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
Jabz · 10 games
40%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Armel · 10 games
60%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
440 picks · 390 bans
50%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
356 picks · 190 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
337 picks · 343 bans
47%
Puck
Puck
330 picks · 792 bans
52%
Batrider
Batrider
323 picks · 841 bans
58%
Tiny
Tiny
278 picks · 215 bans
48%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
275 picks · 621 bans
48%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
275 picks · 538 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 48%
Hero pool strength50% BOOM Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% Heroic
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct36:7
Heroic 54%BOOM Esports 46%
The model gave 54% on Heroic — the game was taken by Heroic in 31:37.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ursa
UrsaYuma
51% · 117 games53% · 112 games
MorphlingJaCkky
Morphling
Leshrac
Leshrac4nalog
39% · 71 game54% · 83 games
EarthshakerArmel
Earthshaker
Mars
MarsWisper
48% · 164 games61% · 173 games
BristlebackJabz
Bristleback
Spirit Breaker
Spirit BreakerScofield
53% · 11 games48% · 60 games
BaneJaunuel
Bane
Silencer
SilencerKJ
48% · 110 games46% · 45 games
SnapfireTims
Snapfire
Game 2prediction correct30:13
Heroic 55%BOOM Esports 45%
The model gave 55% on Heroic — the game was taken by Heroic in 39:20.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ursa
UrsaYuma
45% · 88 games50% · 146 games
TimbersawArmel
Timbersaw
Puck
Puck4nalog
46% · 208 games54% · 64 games
WeaverJaCkky
Weaver
Pangolier
PangolierWisper
48% · 285 games51% · 152 games
MarsJabz
Mars
Undying
UndyingScofield
51% · 57 games53% · 245 games
ClockwerkJaunuel
Clockwerk
Silencer
SilencerKJ
57% · 64 games48% · 95 games
RubickTims
Rubick
Model check result
Model favoriteHeroic · 57%
Series resultHeroic 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2