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BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Heroicwin 2:1
series probability
26%74%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Shopify Rebellionloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Heroic

Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
K1 · 3 games
67%
Tiny
Tiny
Scofield · 3 games
0%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
KJ · 3 games
33%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Davai · 2 games
0%
Bloodseeker
Bloodseekeroften banned
K1 · 2 games
0%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
4nalog · 2 games
0%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
Davai · 2 games
100%
Chen
Chenoften banned
KJ · 1 game
0%

Shopify Rebellion

Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
Cr1t- · 12 games
58%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
SabeRLight- · 9 games
44%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
SabeRLight- · 8 games
25%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
SabeRLight- · 8 games
50%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
SabeRLight- · 8 games
50%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Abed · 8 games
63%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
Abed · 8 games
75%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Fly · 7 games
43%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
270 picks · 445 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
245 picks · 389 bans
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
240 picks · 323 bans
53%
Muerta
Muerta
225 picks · 317 bans
50%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
216 picks · 102 bans
53%
Tusk
Tusk
215 picks · 204 bans
47%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
195 picks · 368 bans
54%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
193 picks · 486 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 44%
Hero pool strength55% Shopify Rebellion
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total74% Shopify Rebellion
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed23:23
Heroic 35%Shopify Rebellion 65%
The model gave 65% on Shopify Rebellion — the game was taken by Heroic in 31:40.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Alchemist
AlchemistK1
53% · 98 games47% · 213 games
TerrorbladeArteezy
Terrorblade
Zeus
Zeus4nalog
50% · 46 games60% · 61 game
Bounty HunterSabeRLight-
Bounty Hunter
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritDavai
52% · 218 games44% · 112 games
MarsYopaj
Mars
Enchantress
EnchantressKJ
48% · 192 games50% · 232 games
TechiesThiolicor
Techies
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful SpiritScofield
49% · 64 games
Game 2prediction correct44:40
Heroic 36%Shopify Rebellion 64%
The model gave 64% on Shopify Rebellion — the game was taken by Shopify Rebellion in 55:06.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lifestealer
LifestealerK1
44% · 66 games52% · 74 games
AlchemistArteezy
Alchemist
Dark Seer
Dark SeerDavai
45% · 104 games52% · 284 games
PangolierYopaj
Pangolier
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit4nalog
48% · 290 games55% · 20 games
SlardarSabeRLight-
Slardar
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterKJ
48% · 44 games52% · 208 games
BatriderThiolicor
Batrider
Lion
LionScofield
53% · 82 games
Game 3prediction missed42:9
Heroic 37%Shopify Rebellion 63%
The model gave 63% on Shopify Rebellion — the game was taken by Heroic in 26:17.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Abaddon
AbaddonK1
38% · 30 games49% · 93 games
UrsaArteezy
Ursa
Zeus
Zeus4nalog
44% · 46 games57% · 156 games
Monkey KingYopaj
Monkey King
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritDavai
53% · 156 games49% · 116 games
Centaur WarrunnerSabeRLight-
Centaur Warrunner
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetKJ
50% · 180 games49% · 115 games
GrimstrokeThiolicor
Grimstroke
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful SpiritScofield
55% · 68 games
Model check result
Model favoriteShopify Rebellion · 74%
Series resultHeroic 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3