?
arrow_backBack to match
BLAST Slam VI · BO1
result vs prediction
Heroicloss 0:1
series probability
21%79%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Xtreme Gamingwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Heroic

Tusk
Tusk
Scofield · 29 games
45%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
KJ · 27 games
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Scofield · 23 games
70%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
Wisper · 20 games
60%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
Wisper · 18 games
67%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Wisper · 18 games
56%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
KJ · 18 games
83%
Ursa
Ursaoften banned
Yuma · 18 games
56%

Xtreme Gaming

Warlock
Warlock
xNova · 19 games
58%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
fy · 17 games
65%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
Xxs · 16 games
81%
Puck
Puckoften banned
NothingToSay · 13 games
54%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
XinQ · 13 games
77%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Xxs · 12 games
58%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
fy · 12 games
50%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Xxs · 12 games
58%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
598 picks · 931 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
541 picks · 422 bans
46%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
494 picks · 641 bans
56%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
494 picks · 655 bans
48%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
437 picks · 941 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
392 picks · 653 bans
58%
Mars
Mars
384 picks · 532 bans
48%
Warlock
Warlock
378 picks · 232 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 57%
Hero pool strength50% Xtreme Gaming
Head-to-head2 – 2
Model total79% Xtreme Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct38:16
Heroic 34%Xtreme Gaming 66%
The model gave 66% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 56:36.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Razor
RazorYuma
52% · 55 games37% · 49 games
AlchemistAme
Alchemist
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritTaiLung
52% · 371 game50% · 223 games
TimbersawXxs
Timbersaw
Mars
MarsWisper
48% · 278 games47% · 438 games
Storm SpiritNothingToSay
Storm Spirit
Tusk
TuskKJ
50% · 475 games53% · 293 games
Shadow Shamanfy
Shadow Shaman
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightThiolicor
53% · 114 games53% · 290 games
Shadow DemonxNova
Shadow Demon
Model check result
Model favoriteXtreme Gaming · 79%
Series resultXtreme Gaming 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1