Dota Pro Circuit 2021: Season 2 — Южная Америка 1-й дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Infinity Esportsloss 0:2series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 0:2
NoPing VPNwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Infinity Esports
Elder Titan
Nuages · 5 games
Mirana
Jupiter · 4 games
Beastmasteroften banned
mini-` · 3 games
Drow Rangeroften banned
Benny · 3 games
Snapfire
Jupiter · 3 games
Luna
Benny · 2 games
Phoenixoften banned
Jupiter · 2 games
Puckoften banned
mini-` · 2 games
NoPing VPN
Earth Spiritsignature
Michael · 13 games
Nyx Assassinsignature
Matthew · 8 games
Timbersawsignature
Oscar · 8 games
Kunkkaoften banned
DarkMago · 7 games
Marssignature
Oscar · 7 games
Death Prophetsignature
Mariano · 6 games
Keeper of the Lightsignature
Panda · 6 games
Nature's Prophetsignature
Mariano · 6 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
426 picks · 968 bans
Void Spirit
398 picks · 557 bans
Death Prophet
357 picks · 708 bans
Mars
341 picks · 576 bans
Grimstroke
311 picks · 297 bans
Earth Spirit
296 picks · 291 bans
Tusk
293 picks · 210 bans
Lion
264 picks · 142 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 64%
Hero pool strength52% NoPing VPN
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% NoPing VPN
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteNoPing VPN · 60%
Series resultNoPing VPN 0:2
Series predictioncorrect