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Dota Pro Circuit 2021: Season 2 — Южная Америка 1-й дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Infinity Esportsloss 0:2
series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 0:2
NoPing VPNwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Infinity Esports

Elder Titan
Elder Titan
Nuages · 5 games
60%
Mirana
Mirana
Jupiter · 4 games
75%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
mini-` · 3 games
100%
Drow Ranger
Drow Rangeroften banned
Benny · 3 games
67%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Jupiter · 3 games
67%
Luna
Luna
Benny · 2 games
50%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Jupiter · 2 games
0%
Puck
Puckoften banned
mini-` · 2 games
100%

NoPing VPN

Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
Michael · 13 games
62%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinsignature
Matthew · 8 games
88%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
Oscar · 8 games
63%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
DarkMago · 7 games
57%
Mars
Marssignature
Oscar · 7 games
71%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetsignature
Mariano · 6 games
67%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
Panda · 6 games
83%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
Mariano · 6 games
83%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
426 picks · 968 bans
52%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
398 picks · 557 bans
52%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
357 picks · 708 bans
55%
Mars
Mars
341 picks · 576 bans
53%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
311 picks · 297 bans
47%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
296 picks · 291 bans
51%
Tusk
Tusk
293 picks · 210 bans
52%
Lion
Lion
264 picks · 142 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 64%
Hero pool strength52% NoPing VPN
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% NoPing VPN
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteNoPing VPN · 60%
Series resultNoPing VPN 0:2
Series predictioncorrect