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DreamLeague Season 20 · BO3
result vs prediction
LGD Gamingloss 0:2
series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 0:2
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

LGD Gaming

Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
zeal · 24 games
83%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
NothingToSay · 23 games
65%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
NothingToSay · 21 game
81%
Phoenix
Phoenix
pLAnet · 21 game
57%
Disruptor
Disruptor
pLAnet · 19 games
58%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
pLAnet · 16 games
50%
Mirana
Miranasignature
pLAnet · 15 games
67%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
pLAnet · 14 games
64%

BETBOOM TEAM

Pugna
Pugnasignature
Save- · 25 games
64%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Save- · 24 games
63%
Doom
Doomsignature
Pure~ · 23 games
74%
Tiny
Tiny
gpK~ · 23 games
57%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Nightfall · 21 game
57%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
Save- · 21 game
62%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 19 games
74%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 17 games
71%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
699 picks · 485 bans
47%
Techies
Techies
577 picks · 623 bans
55%
Doom
Doom
565 picks · 1101 bans
53%
Disruptor
Disruptor
554 picks · 503 bans
53%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
534 picks · 1226 bans
57%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
472 picks · 1045 bans
49%
Enchantress
Enchantress
464 picks · 678 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
456 picks · 919 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 55%
Hero pool strength51% LGD Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total56% LGD Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed6:26
LGD Gaming 53%BETBOOM TEAM 47%
The model gave 53% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 25:49.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritNothingToSay
48% · 372 games48% · 251 game
MorphlingNightfall
Morphling
Phantom Lancer
Phantom Lancershiro
50% · 74 games60% · 28 games
NecrophosgpK~
Necrophos
Visage
Visageniu
53% · 125 games49% · 130 games
TidehunterPure~
Tidehunter
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath MagepLAnet
52% · 168 games45% · 120 games
Spirit BreakerTORONTOTOKYO
Spirit Breaker
Undying
Undyingy`
53% · 320 games49% · 530 games
RubickSave-
Rubick
Game 2prediction missed2:23
LGD Gaming 53%BETBOOM TEAM 47%
The model gave 53% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 32:05.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Pangolier
PangolierNothingToSay
52% · 388 games46% · 573 games
Ember SpiritgpK~
Ember Spirit
Morphling
Morphlingshiro
51% · 269 games56% · 314 games
Monkey KingNightfall
Monkey King
Beastmaster
Beastmasterniu
53% · 395 games50% · 193 games
TidehunterPure~
Tidehunter
Rubick
RubickpLAnet
45% · 661 game53% · 350 games
TechiesSave-
Techies
Abaddon
Abaddony`
48% · 67 games47% · 350 games
SilencerTORONTOTOKYO
Silencer
Model check result
Model favoriteLGD Gaming · 56%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2