BTS Pro Series Season 9. ЮВА · BO2
result vs predictionseries probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Nigma Galaxy SEA
Lionsignature
Jhocam · 22 games
Puckoften banned
AlaCrity · 17 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Meracle · 14 games
Ancient Apparitionsignature
Poloson · 12 games
Grimstrokesignature
Jhocam · 11 games
Leshracsignature
inYourdreaM · 11 games
Snapfire
Poloson · 11 games
Ember Spiritsignature
AlaCrity · 10 games
Neon Esports
Miranasignature
PlayHard · 27 games
Nyx Assassinsignature
Tims · 23 games
Lion
Jaunuel · 20 games
Sand Kingoften banned
Yopaj · 19 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
Unknown- · 17 games
Marssignature
xiaoyu154 · 14 games
Nature's Prophet
Skem · 14 games
Dark Seersignature
Enryu · 13 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
286 picks · 160 bans
Mars
269 picks · 367 bans
Lina
263 picks · 534 bans
Tidehunter
245 picks · 391 bans
Pangolier
242 picks · 345 bans
Shadow Demon
233 picks · 244 bans
Tiny
225 picks · 296 bans
Monkey King
224 picks · 473 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 40%
Hero pool strength51% Nigma Galaxy SEA
Head-to-head3 – 1
Model total70% Nigma Galaxy SEA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteNigma Galaxy SEA · 70%
Series resultNigma Galaxy SEA 2:0
Series predictioncorrect