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BTS Pro Series Season 9. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Nigma Galaxy SEAwin 2:0
series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Neon Esportsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Nigma Galaxy SEA

Lion
Lionsignature
Jhocam · 22 games
73%
Puck
Puckoften banned
AlaCrity · 17 games
59%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Meracle · 14 games
50%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionsignature
Poloson · 12 games
67%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
Jhocam · 11 games
73%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
inYourdreaM · 11 games
73%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Poloson · 11 games
45%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
AlaCrity · 10 games
60%

Neon Esports

Mirana
Miranasignature
PlayHard · 27 games
67%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinsignature
Tims · 23 games
65%
Lion
Lion
Jaunuel · 20 games
55%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
Yopaj · 19 games
53%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Unknown- · 17 games
59%
Mars
Marssignature
xiaoyu154 · 14 games
64%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
Skem · 14 games
50%
Dark Seer
Dark Seersignature
Enryu · 13 games
77%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
286 picks · 160 bans
54%
Mars
Mars
269 picks · 367 bans
48%
Lina
Lina
263 picks · 534 bans
55%
Tidehunter
Tidehunter
245 picks · 391 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
242 picks · 345 bans
50%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
233 picks · 244 bans
57%
Tiny
Tiny
225 picks · 296 bans
55%
Monkey King
Monkey King
224 picks · 473 bans
61%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 40%
Hero pool strength51% Nigma Galaxy SEA
Head-to-head3 – 1
Model total70% Nigma Galaxy SEA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteNigma Galaxy SEA · 70%
Series resultNigma Galaxy SEA 2:0
Series predictioncorrect