?
LOOT.BET Pro Series Season 7. Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
NoPing VPNwin 2:1
series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 2:1
TEAM TEAMloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

NoPing VPN

Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Accel · 27 games
78%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
Oscar · 23 games
61%
Tiny
Tiny
DarkMago · 20 games
55%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Mariano · 17 games
47%
Mirana
Miranasignature
Michael · 16 games
63%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
Michael · 15 games
73%
Mars
Marssignature
Oscar · 15 games
80%
Oracle
Oracleoften banned
Panda · 15 games
53%

TEAM TEAM

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
430 picks · 174 bans
53%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
312 picks · 475 bans
56%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
311 picks · 622 bans
54%
Puck
Puck
306 picks · 694 bans
49%
Mars
Mars
293 picks · 522 bans
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
287 picks · 120 bans
49%
Lina
Lina
260 picks · 343 bans
49%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
259 picks · 329 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 50%
Hero pool strength58% NoPing VPN
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total74% NoPing VPN
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct27:11
NoPing VPN 65%TEAM TEAM 35%
The model gave 65% on NoPing VPN — the game was taken by NoPing VPN in 35:47.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladePakazs
61% · 85 games44% · 93 games
GyrocopterSammyboy
Gyrocopter
Tiny
TinyDarkMago
54% · 95 games47% · 107 games
Storm SpiritRyoya
Storm Spirit
Sand King
Sand KingOscar
48% · 48 games52% · 36 games
AlchemistBrax
Alchemist
Lion
LionMatthew
44% · 147 games53% · 48 games
Keeper of the LightFrancisLee
Keeper of the Light
Winter Wyvern
Winter WyvernPanda
48% · 48 games50% · 139 games
Abaddonixmike88
Abaddon
Game 2prediction missed20:44
NoPing VPN 62%TEAM TEAM 38%
The model gave 62% on NoPing VPN — the game was taken by TEAM TEAM in 41:58.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Axe
AxePakazs
49% · 140 games50% · 10 games
Naga SirenSammyboy
Naga Siren
Leshrac
LeshracDarkMago
48% · 148 games52% · 116 games
Winter WyvernRyoya
Winter Wyvern
Sand King
Sand KingOscar
48% · 109 games54% · 218 games
MarsBrax
Mars
Hoodwink
HoodwinkMatthew
50% · 168 games52% · 211 games
LionFrancisLee
Lion
Oracle
OraclePanda
42% · 140 games54% · 150 games
Ancient Apparitionixmike88
Ancient Apparition
Game 3prediction correct30:25
NoPing VPN 63%TEAM TEAM 37%
The model gave 63% on NoPing VPN — the game was taken by NoPing VPN in 35:12.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Spectre
SpectrePakazs
53% · 37 games44% · 22 games
Outworld DestroyerRyoya
Outworld Destroyer
Tiny
TinyDarkMago
48% · 77 games50% · 98 games
Faceless VoidSammyboy
Faceless Void
Timbersaw
TimbersawOscar
51% · 104 games54% · 117 games
PangolierBrax
Pangolier
Viper
ViperPanda
47% · 71 game51% · 137 games
HoodwinkFrancisLee
Hoodwink
Lion
LionMatthew
50% · 180 games49% · 95 games
Oracleixmike88
Oracle
Model check result
Model favoriteNoPing VPN · 74%
Series resultNoPing VPN 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3