LOOT.BET Pro Series Season 7. Америка · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
NoPing VPN
Gyrocoptersignature
Accel · 27 games
Timbersawsignature
Oscar · 23 games
Tiny
DarkMago · 20 games
Tidehunteroften banned
Mariano · 17 games
Miranasignature
Michael · 16 games
Earth Spiritsignature
Michael · 15 games
Marssignature
Oscar · 15 games
Oracleoften banned
Panda · 15 games
TEAM TEAM
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
430 picks · 174 bans
Ancient Apparition
312 picks · 475 bans
Nyx Assassin
311 picks · 622 bans
Puck
306 picks · 694 bans
Mars
293 picks · 522 bans
Hoodwink
287 picks · 120 bans
Lina
260 picks · 343 bans
Dragon Knight
259 picks · 329 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 50%
Hero pool strength58% NoPing VPN
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total74% NoPing VPN
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct27:11
NoPing VPN 65%TEAM TEAM 35%
The model gave 65% on NoPing VPN — the game was taken by NoPing VPN in 35:47.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
TerrorbladePakazs
GyrocopterSammyboy
TinyDarkMago
Storm SpiritRyoya
Sand KingOscar
AlchemistBrax
LionMatthew
Keeper of the LightFrancisLee
Winter WyvernPanda
Abaddonixmike88
Game 2prediction missed20:44
NoPing VPN 62%TEAM TEAM 38%
The model gave 62% on NoPing VPN — the game was taken by TEAM TEAM in 41:58.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
AxePakazs
Naga SirenSammyboy
LeshracDarkMago
Winter WyvernRyoya
Sand KingOscar
MarsBrax
HoodwinkMatthew
LionFrancisLee
OraclePanda
Ancient Apparitionixmike88
Game 3prediction correct30:25
NoPing VPN 63%TEAM TEAM 37%
The model gave 63% on NoPing VPN — the game was taken by NoPing VPN in 35:12.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
SpectrePakazs
Outworld DestroyerRyoya
TinyDarkMago
Faceless VoidSammyboy
TimbersawOscar
PangolierBrax
ViperPanda
HoodwinkFrancisLee
LionMatthew
Oracleixmike88
Model check result
Model favoriteNoPing VPN · 74%
Series resultNoPing VPN 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3