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Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
REKONIXwin 2:1
series probability
80%20%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Mentality Monsterloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

REKONIX

Tiny
Tiny
inYourdreaM · 23 games
39%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Varizh · 20 games
75%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Fbz · 18 games
22%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
inYourdreaM · 17 games
59%
Kez
Kezsignature
TraVins · 16 games
63%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Varizh · 16 games
50%
Puck
Puckoften banned
inYourdreaM · 16 games
38%
Rubick
Rubick
dalul · 16 games
50%

Mentality Monster

Silencer
Silencer
Juju · 3 games
67%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
GaN- · 3 games
67%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
OneJey · 2 games
100%
Luna
Luna
Cije · 2 games
50%
Lycan
Lycanoften banned
egxrdemxn · 2 games
100%
Rubick
Rubick
OneJey · 2 games
50%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
egxrdemxn · 2 games
50%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectoroften banned
Juju · 2 games
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
603 picks · 375 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
497 picks · 270 bans
49%
Phoenix
Phoenix
493 picks · 580 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
465 picks · 389 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
407 picks · 565 bans
48%
Puck
Puck
342 picks · 933 bans
53%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
336 picks · 867 bans
47%
Tusk
Tusk
332 picks · 282 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)39% vs 57%
Hero pool strength55% Mentality Monster
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total80% REKONIX
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct42:14
REKONIX 65%Mentality Monster 35%
The model gave 65% on REKONIX — the game was taken by REKONIX in 49:31.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Doom
DoomTraVins
48% · 166 games58% · 125 games
Naga SirenCije
Naga Siren
Timbersaw
TimbersawFbz
49% · 183 games48% · 383 games
PangolierGaN-
Pangolier
Puck
PuckinYourdreaM
49% · 387 games53% · 175 games
Primal Beastegxrdemxn
Primal Beast
Rubick
Rubickdalul
45% · 206 games52% · 120 games
Keeper of the LightOneJey
Keeper of the Light
Lich
LichVarizh
50% · 44 games51% · 183 games
SilencerJuju
Silencer
Game 2prediction missed12:40
REKONIX 66%Mentality Monster 34%
The model gave 66% on REKONIX — the game was taken by Mentality Monster in 34:20.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Doom
DoomFbz
49% · 229 games52% · 473 games
TinyCije
Tiny
Faceless Void
Faceless VoidTraVins
49% · 153 games48% · 437 games
SnapfireGaN-
Snapfire
Puck
PuckinYourdreaM
50% · 501 game49% · 403 games
Batrideregxrdemxn
Batrider
Hoodwink
Hoodwinkdalul
49% · 590 games50% · 193 games
SilencerJuju
Silencer
Enchantress
EnchantressVarizh
47% · 196 games56% · 163 games
LargoOneJey
Largo
Game 3prediction correct35:18
REKONIX 65%Mentality Monster 35%
The model gave 65% on REKONIX — the game was taken by REKONIX in 41:49.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tiny
TinyTraVins
49% · 456 games56% · 163 games
Naga SirenCije
Naga Siren
Puck
PuckinYourdreaM
43% · 494 games52% · 265 games
Axeegxrdemxn
Axe
Primal Beast
Primal BeastFbz
59% · 180 games47% · 252 games
SnapfireGaN-
Snapfire
Techies
Techiesdalul
40% · 95 games56% · 235 games
MuertaOneJey
Muerta
Silencer
SilencerVarizh
47% · 146 games51% · 456 games
TuskJuju
Tusk
Model check result
Model favoriteREKONIX · 80%
Series resultREKONIX 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3