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DreamLeague Season 27. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Runa Teamwin 2:0
series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Nemiga Gamingloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Runa Team

Windranger
Windranger
queezy · 33 games
42%
Tiny
Tiny
nicky`cool · 32 games
56%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
queezy · 29 games
45%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
nicky`cool · 27 games
63%
Batrider
Batridersignature
queezy · 26 games
73%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
Shigetsu · 23 games
52%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
nicky`cool · 23 games
70%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Hduo · 22 games
64%

Nemiga Gaming

Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
young G · 23 games
65%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
bashka · 18 games
44%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Covisnine · 15 games
67%
Mars
Marssignature
Covisnine · 15 games
60%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
xsvampire · 14 games
71%
Jakiro
Jakiro
monodrama · 14 games
29%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
bashka · 13 games
62%
Windranger
Windranger
xsvampire · 13 games
46%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
296 picks · 732 bans
51%
Disruptor
Disruptor
276 picks · 252 bans
48%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
273 picks · 176 bans
50%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
258 picks · 674 bans
49%
Pugna
Pugna
255 picks · 274 bans
54%
Tusk
Tusk
250 picks · 245 bans
46%
Marci
Marci
247 picks · 675 bans
55%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
246 picks · 571 bans
57%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 51%
Hero pool strength52% Runa Team
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total57% Runa Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct27:26
Runa Team 54%Nemiga Gaming 46%
The model gave 54% on Runa Team — the game was taken by Runa Team in 48:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lifestealer
Lifestealernesfeer
56% · 72 games49% · 129 games
Lunabashka
Luna
Timbersaw
Timbersawnicky`cool
47% · 138 games47% · 188 games
Invokeryoung G
Invoker
Earthshaker
EarthshakerAlberkaaa
55% · 79 games53% · 111 games
Centaur WarrunnerCovisnine
Centaur Warrunner
Snapfire
Snapfirequeezy
38% · 111 games57% · 174 games
Shadow Demonxsvampire
Shadow Demon
Clockwerk
ClockwerkHduo
47% · 202 games
Game 2prediction correct30:18
Runa Team 54%Nemiga Gaming 46%
The model gave 54% on Runa Team — the game was taken by Runa Team in 42:18.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Troll Warlord
Troll Warlordnesfeer
44% · 33 games46% · 109 games
Templar Assassinbashka
Templar Assassin
Huskar
HuskarAlberkaaa
54% · 43 games50% · 101 game
Invokeryoung G
Invoker
Earthshaker
Earthshakernicky`cool
51% · 117 games46% · 43 games
SlardarCovisnine
Slardar
Chen
ChenHduo
64% · 111 games47% · 152 games
Batriderxsvampire
Batrider
Snapfire
Snapfirequeezy
48% · 101 game
Model check result
Model favoriteRuna Team · 57%
Series resultRuna Team 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2