?
arrow_backBack to match
DreamLeague Season 25 · BO2
result vs prediction
Shopify Rebellionloss 1:1
series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 1:1
9Pandasloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Shopify Rebellion

Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Timado · 18 games
72%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Hellscream · 17 games
59%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
mangekyou · 15 games
67%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
Yopaj · 15 games
60%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Yopaj · 14 games
71%
Visage
Visageoften banned
mangekyou · 13 games
38%
Broodmother
Broodmotheroften banned
mangekyou · 12 games
58%
Magnus
Magnussignature
Yopaj · 12 games
67%

9Pandas

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
erase · 29 games
59%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Solo · 24 games
33%
Elder Titan
Elder Titan
Solo · 21 game
57%
Undying
Undyingsignature
Solo · 21 game
62%
Lion
Lion
lupsione · 20 games
55%
Tidehunter
Tidehuntersignature
laise · 18 games
61%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Solo · 17 games
41%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
laise · 16 games
44%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Phoenix
Phoenix
519 picks · 778 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
505 picks · 601 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
489 picks · 513 bans
55%
Batrider
Batrider
471 picks · 580 bans
50%
Muerta
Muerta
447 picks · 379 bans
51%
Magnus
Magnus
433 picks · 990 bans
57%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
425 picks · 778 bans
56%
Lich
Lich
389 picks · 211 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 52%
Hero pool strength52% Shopify Rebellion
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% Shopify Rebellion
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct37:13
Shopify Rebellion 51%9Pandas 49%
The model gave 51% on Shopify Rebellion — the game was taken by Shopify Rebellion in 35:07.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lifestealer
LifestealerTimado
52% · 123 games48% · 158 games
RazorV-Tune
Razor
Abaddon
AbaddonPakazs
42% · 51 game53% · 107 games
Dark Seerlaise
Dark Seer
Tiny
TinyYopaj
51% · 415 games52% · 179 games
InvokerSerenada
Invoker
Zeus
ZeusSkem
39% · 111 games52% · 368 games
Clockwerklupsione
Clockwerk
Lion
LionHellscream
51% · 244 games56% · 132 games
Elder TitanSolo
Elder Titan
Game 2prediction missed20:25
Shopify Rebellion 53%9Pandas 47%
The model gave 53% on Shopify Rebellion — the game was taken by 9Pandas in 39:49.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Bloodseeker
BloodseekerTimado
37% · 56 games60% · 127 games
BristlebackV-Tune
Bristleback
Pangolier
PangolierYopaj
43% · 437 games46% · 147 games
Earth SpiritSerenada
Earth Spirit
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerPakazs
42% · 199 games49% · 275 games
Clockwerklupsione
Clockwerk
Venomancer
VenomancerSkem
60% · 42 games64% · 116 games
Enigmalaise
Enigma
Spirit Breaker
Spirit BreakerHellscream
50% · 21 game65% · 90 games
ChenSolo
Chen
Model check result
Model favoriteShopify Rebellion · 53%
Accuracy by game1 of 2