?
arrow_backBack to match
Elite League · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Liquidloss 1:1
series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Tundra Esportsloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Liquid

Luna
Lunasignature
miCKe · 24 games
71%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spiritsignature
iNSaNiA · 23 games
70%
Rubick
Rubick
Boxi · 20 games
50%
Brewmaster
Brewmastersignature
33 · 16 games
69%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Nisha · 15 games
60%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
miCKe · 15 games
67%
Muerta
Muerta
Boxi · 13 games
54%
Doom
Doomoften banned
33 · 12 games
50%

Tundra Esports

Techies
Techiessignature
9Class · 37 games
84%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
9Class · 27 games
78%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Tobi · 23 games
87%
Luna
Lunasignature
Pure~ · 21 game
86%
Batrider
Batridersignature
9Class · 16 games
69%
Tiny
Tinysignature
9Class · 16 games
63%
Brewmaster
Brewmastersignature
Tobi · 15 games
87%
Sniper
Snipersignature
Topson · 15 games
73%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
493 picks · 789 bans
55%
Batrider
Batrider
461 picks · 957 bans
55%
Tiny
Tiny
457 picks · 600 bans
55%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
454 picks · 200 bans
54%
Techies
Techies
450 picks · 346 bans
50%
Mars
Mars
445 picks · 707 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
438 picks · 205 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
426 picks · 728 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)49% vs 63%
Hero pool strength59% Tundra Esports
Head-to-head7 – 5
Model total58% Tundra Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct21:39
Team Liquid 46%Tundra Esports 54%
The model gave 54% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 35:54.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Weaver
WeavermiCKe
54% · 87 games46% · 23 games
SniperPure~
Sniper
Doom
Doom33
54% · 234 games39% · 67 games
ZeusTopson
Zeus
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritNisha
54% · 72 games46% · 137 games
BrewmasterTobi
Brewmaster
Dark Willow
Dark WillowBoxi
53% · 103 games49% · 142 games
ClockwerkWhitemon
Clockwerk
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaideniNSaNiA
61% · 219 games44% · 346 games
Rubick9Class
Rubick
Game 2prediction missed20:23
Team Liquid 46%Tundra Esports 54%
The model gave 54% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 41:29.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinmiCKe
50% · 220 games41% · 46 games
Drow RangerPure~
Drow Ranger
Pangolier
PangolierNisha
52% · 417 games45% · 261 game
Primal BeastTopson
Primal Beast
Dark Seer
Dark Seer33
61% · 170 games51% · 229 games
Centaur WarrunnerTobi
Centaur Warrunner
Io
IoBoxi
54% · 94 games44% · 399 games
Rubick9Class
Rubick
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful SpiritiNSaNiA
54% · 220 games46% · 186 games
UndyingWhitemon
Undying
Model check result
Model favoriteTundra Esports · 58%
Accuracy by game1 of 2