?
arrow_backBack to match
European Pro League Season 37 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Lynxloss 1:2
series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Power Rangerswin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Lynx

Underlord
Underlordoften banned
VladikTheHtiviy · 29 games
59%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
mellojul · 24 games
67%
Rubick
Rubick
QBFY · 22 games
59%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
VladikTheHtiviy · 21 game
57%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
kreker · 21 game
62%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
VladikTheHtiviy · 21 game
38%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
mellojul · 20 games
65%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
mellojul · 20 games
50%

Power Rangers

Slardar
Slardarsignature
nicky`cool · 35 games
63%
Tiny
Tiny
nicky`cool · 32 games
56%
Chen
Chensignature
Hduo · 28 games
68%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Immersion · 28 games
54%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Immersion · 27 games
56%
Tusk
Tusk
Immersion · 22 games
55%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Immersion · 21 game
67%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Alberkaaa · 20 games
65%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
511 picks · 300 bans
56%
Phoenix
Phoenix
479 picks · 575 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
438 picks · 350 bans
50%
Jakiro
Jakiro
431 picks · 333 bans
48%
Tusk
Tusk
372 picks · 324 bans
55%
Rubick
Rubick
352 picks · 188 bans
50%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
347 picks · 842 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
346 picks · 847 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 63%
Hero pool strength51% Power Rangers
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total56% Power Rangers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed30:26
Team Lynx 48%Power Rangers 52%
The model gave 52% on Power Rangers — the game was taken by Team Lynx in 43:49.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lone Druid
Lone Druid7jesu
56% · 19 games51% · 164 games
Templar AssassinTA2000
Templar Assassin
Timbersaw
Timbersawmellojul
48% · 90 games51% · 126 games
Sand Kingnicky`cool
Sand King
Tidehunter
TidehunterVladikTheHtiviy
54% · 119 games51% · 67 games
LycanAlberkaaa
Lycan
Windranger
WindrangerQBFY
49% · 120 games43% · 56 games
TechiesImmersion
Techies
Clockwerk
Clockwerkkreker
49% · 93 games48% · 28 games
Winter WyvernHduo
Winter Wyvern
Game 2prediction correct12:33
Team Lynx 46%Power Rangers 54%
The model gave 54% on Power Rangers — the game was taken by Power Rangers in 28:03.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lifestealer
Lifestealer7jesu
51% · 70 games45% · 133 games
Kunkkanicky`cool
Kunkka
Puck
Puckmellojul
49% · 240 games50% · 244 games
WindrangerTA2000
Windranger
Pangolier
PangolierVladikTheHtiviy
44% · 236 games54% · 224 games
DoomAlberkaaa
Doom
Hoodwink
HoodwinkQBFY
56% · 241 game53% · 109 games
TechiesImmersion
Techies
Snapfire
Snapfirekreker
50% · 135 games48% · 212 games
ClockwerkHduo
Clockwerk
Game 3prediction correct11:39
Team Lynx 46%Power Rangers 54%
The model gave 54% on Power Rangers — the game was taken by Power Rangers in 27:22.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Pangolier
Pangoliermellojul
44% · 284 games48% · 71 game
MagnusTA2000
Magnus
Faceless Void
Faceless Void7jesu
56% · 96 games48% · 195 games
DoomAlberkaaa
Doom
Bristleback
BristlebackVladikTheHtiviy
45% · 216 games55% · 347 games
Batridernicky`cool
Batrider
Techies
Techieskreker
41% · 43 games55% · 136 games
SilencerHduo
Silencer
Hoodwink
HoodwinkQBFY
53% · 276 games53% · 166 games
ClockwerkImmersion
Clockwerk
Model check result
Model favoritePower Rangers · 56%
Series resultPower Rangers 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3