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Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Западная Европа · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Secretloss 0:2
series probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Gaimin Gladiatorswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Secret

Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
YapzOr · 14 games
79%
Io
Iooften banned
Puppey · 12 games
33%
Tiny
Tinysignature
YapzOr · 10 games
60%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
YapzOr · 9 games
56%
Rubick
Rubick
YapzOr · 9 games
44%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Puppey · 8 games
88%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinsignature
YapzOr · 8 games
75%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magisignature
Puppey · 8 games
63%

Gaimin Gladiators

Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
tOfu · 17 games
71%
Tidehunter
Tidehuntersignature
Ace · 16 games
81%
Bane
Banesignature
tOfu · 15 games
67%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
Seleri · 15 games
67%
Weaver
Weaversignature
tOfu · 15 games
67%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinsignature
dyrachyo · 11 games
64%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painsignature
BOOM · 10 games
70%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
BOOM · 9 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
455 picks · 274 bans
55%
Mars
Mars
382 picks · 527 bans
54%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
367 picks · 501 bans
53%
Weaver
Weaver
353 picks · 471 bans
52%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
297 picks · 467 bans
54%
Kunkka
Kunkka
286 picks · 507 bans
51%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
266 picks · 188 bans
45%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
264 picks · 331 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 64%
Hero pool strength53% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total61% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct6:20
Team Secret 45%Gaimin Gladiators 55%
The model gave 55% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 27:34.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Anti-Mage
Anti-MageSumaiL
50% · 51 game45% · 176 games
Storm SpiritBOOM
Storm Spirit
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knighticeiceice
57% · 142 gameslittle data
MeepoAce
Meepo
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainNisha
52% · 240 games46% · 360 games
Marsdyrachyo
Mars
Enchantress
EnchantressPuppey
51% · 134 games53% · 75 games
Keeper of the LighttOfu
Keeper of the Light
Nyx Assassin
Nyx AssassinYapzOr
54% · 183 games45% · 139 games
IoSeleri
Io
Game 2prediction correct16:32
Team Secret 45%Gaimin Gladiators 55%
The model gave 55% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 32:02.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Timbersaw
Timbersawiceiceice
45% · 134 games55% · 39 games
Chaos Knightdyrachyo
Chaos Knight
Mars
MarsSumaiL
47% · 460 games54% · 277 games
Ember SpiritBOOM
Ember Spirit
Huskar
HuskarNisha
55% · 24 games54% · 303 games
TidehunterAce
Tidehunter
Enchantress
EnchantressPuppey
47% · 130 games52% · 260 games
WeavertOfu
Weaver
Snapfire
SnapfireYapzOr
43% · 361 game53% · 230 games
IoSeleri
Io
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 61%
Series resultGaimin Gladiators 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2