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Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Восточная Европа · BO3
result vs prediction
V-Gamingwin 2:1
series probability
83%17%
probability at match start · final 2:1
B8 Esportsloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

V-Gaming

Lina
Linasignature
hAze · 38 games
61%
Lion
Lionsignature
ArrOw · 31 game
61%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
Malady · 28 games
75%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
ArrOw · 26 games
65%
Weaver
Weaversignature
ArrOw · 25 games
60%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
hAze · 24 games
58%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Malady · 23 games
61%
Night Stalker
Night Stalkersignature
laise · 22 games
73%

B8 Esports

Void Spirit
Void Spirit
Dendi · 26 games
42%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
[T]SA · 25 games
64%
Lina
Linasignature
[T]SA · 23 games
65%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Watson · 22 games
59%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Dendi · 17 games
24%
Luna
Lunaoften banned
Watson · 16 games
50%
Bane
Bane
Sammyboy · 14 games
57%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Alexxo · 13 games
23%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
414 picks · 299 bans
58%
Mars
Mars
389 picks · 564 bans
49%
Snapfire
Snapfire
316 picks · 176 bans
45%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
308 picks · 368 bans
51%
Weaver
Weaver
308 picks · 738 bans
56%
Kunkka
Kunkka
247 picks · 420 bans
57%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
236 picks · 324 bans
54%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker
234 picks · 325 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 11%
Hero pool strength58% V-Gaming
Head-to-head4 – 1
Model total83% V-Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed15:18
V-Gaming 72%B8 Esports 28%
The model gave 72% on V-Gaming — the game was taken by B8 Esports in 38:34.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinTA2000
58% · 152 games46% · 131 game
Medusav1olent-
Medusa
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainhAze
45% · 182 games54% · 121 game
KunkkapJonn
Kunkka
Night Stalker
Night Stalkerlaise
51% · 71 game47% · 243 games
PuckDendi
Puck
Rubick
RubickArrOw
44% · 195 games53% · 171 game
WeaverLagoona
Weaver
Silencer
Silencerantoha
53% · 66 games
Game 2prediction correct28:21
V-Gaming 70%B8 Esports 30%
The model gave 70% on V-Gaming — the game was taken by V-Gaming in 41:31.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeTA2000
53% · 219 games46% · 225 games
Lunav1olent-
Luna
Invoker
InvokerhAze
52% · 238 games52% · 415 games
PuckDendi
Puck
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnerlaise
56% · 163 games42% · 274 games
GrimstrokeLagoona
Grimstroke
Lion
LionArrOw
51% · 526 games46% · 420 games
MarspJonn
Mars
Weaver
Weaverantoha
55% · 188 games
Game 3prediction correct30:7
V-Gaming 70%B8 Esports 30%
The model gave 70% on V-Gaming — the game was taken by V-Gaming in 35:03.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Faceless Void
Faceless VoidTA2000
56% · 84 games51% · 118 games
Terrorbladev1olent-
Terrorblade
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainhAze
47% · 124 games48% · 137 games
InvokerDendi
Invoker
Outworld Destroyer
Outworld Destroyerlaise
52% · 55 games52% · 33 games
VenomancerpJonn
Venomancer
Nyx Assassin
Nyx AssassinArrOw
46% · 127 games49% · 151 game
WeaverLagoona
Weaver
Silencer
Silencerantoha
50% · 49 games
Model check result
Model favoriteV-Gaming · 83%
Series resultV-Gaming 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3