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Dota 2 Champions League 2021 Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Winstrike Teamloss 0:2
series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 0:2
V-Gamingwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Winstrike Team

Phoenix
Phoenix
yamich · 18 games
50%
Puck
Pucksignature
re1bl · 14 games
71%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
re1bl · 12 games
42%
Wraith King
Wraith Kingoften banned
dyrachyo · 12 games
58%
Lion
Lion
yamich · 11 games
18%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
re1bl · 10 games
30%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
yamich · 10 games
70%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
dyrachyo · 9 games
67%

V-Gaming

Lion
Lionsignature
ArrOw · 10 games
70%
Mars
Marssignature
laise · 6 games
67%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
TA2000 · 4 games
25%
Puck
Puckoften banned
hAze · 4 games
25%
Rubick
Rubick
ArrOw · 4 games
50%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
hAze · 4 games
25%
Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
TA2000 · 3 games
100%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
laise · 3 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
456 picks · 180 bans
51%
Snapfire
Snapfire
357 picks · 200 bans
50%
Mars
Mars
346 picks · 554 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
329 picks · 821 bans
49%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
319 picks · 478 bans
56%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
310 picks · 612 bans
58%
Tiny
Tiny
303 picks · 241 bans
51%
Enchantress
Enchantress
288 picks · 363 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)42% vs 73%
Hero pool strength51% V-Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% V-Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct27:32
Winstrike Team 44%V-Gaming 56%
The model gave 56% on V-Gaming — the game was taken by V-Gaming in 46:02.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Naga Siren
Naga Sirenxannii
42% · 20 games47% · 42 games
Drow RangerTA2000
Drow Ranger
Invoker
InvokerEgor
57% · 73 games43% · 85 games
ViperhAze
Viper
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightpJonn
49% · 71 game50% · 82 games
Dark WillowArrOw
Dark Willow
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinyamich
53% · 139 games47% · 102 games
Beastmasterlaise
Beastmaster
Ancient Apparition
Ancient ApparitionPanto
59% · 118 games45% · 110 games
AbaddonMalady
Abaddon
Game 2prediction correct11:27
Winstrike Team 43%V-Gaming 57%
The model gave 57% on V-Gaming — the game was taken by V-Gaming in 25:54.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
Lunaxannii
53% · 102 games50% · 93 games
MedusaTA2000
Medusa
Mirana
Miranayamich
50% · 131 game42% · 110 games
LinahAze
Lina
Invoker
InvokerEgor
55% · 104 games48% · 132 games
Timbersawlaise
Timbersaw
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightpJonn
50% · 132 games48% · 219 games
LionArrOw
Lion
Clockwerk
ClockwerkPanto
54% · 134 games52% · 49 games
Treant ProtectorMalady
Treant Protector
Model check result
Model favoriteV-Gaming · 64%
Series resultV-Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2