Parken Challenger Championship Season 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
100 Thieves#84 in the world · win 2:0series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:0
A Great Chaosloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
Not enough maps played over 3 months to build a veto prediction.
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed13:7
100 Thieves 47%A Great Chaos 53%
The model gave 53% on A Great Chaos — the map was taken by 100 Thieves.
Ancientprediction correct13:6
100 Thieves 53%A Great Chaos 47%
The model gave 53% on 100 Thieves — the map was taken by 100 Thieves.
Model check result
Model favorite100 Thieves · 50%
Series result100 Thieves 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2