Stake Pulse Beat II · BO3
pre-match prediction
Sashi#53 in the worldseries probability
49%51%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
FOKUS#40 in the worldBefore the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeSashi ban
53%44%
Sashi · 15 mapsedge Sashi +9%FOKUS · 12 maps
Dust2FOKUS ban
44%43%
Sashi · 14 mapsnearly even +1%FOKUS · 10 maps
AncientFOKUS pick
46%50%
Sashi · 9 mapsnearly even -4%FOKUS · 12 maps
CacheSashi pick
63%82%
Sashi · 12 mapsedge FOKUS +19%FOKUS · 7 maps
Infernopossible decider
67%44%
Sashi · 8 mapsedge Sashi +23%FOKUS · 5 maps
AnubisFOKUS ban
67%57%
Sashi · 5 mapsedge Sashi +10%FOKUS · 3 maps
MirageSashi ban
40%45%
Sashi · 1 mapedge FOKUS +5%FOKUS · 7 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSashi remove Mirage
2. BanFOKUS remove Anubis
3. PickSashi take Cache
4. PickFOKUS take Ancient
5. BanFOKUS remove Dust2
6. BanSashi remove Nuke
DeciderInferno (67% / 44%)