Exort Fiesta Series 1 · BO3
pre-match predictionseries probability
40%60%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
Permitta#115 in the worldBefore the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageMai Tai pick
42%50%
Mai Tai · 15 mapsedge Permitta +8%Permitta · 4 maps
AncientPermitta ban
42%27%
Mai Tai · 8 mapsedge Mai Tai +15%Permitta · 7 maps
Defaultpossible decider
35%40%
Mai Tai · 13 mapsedge Permitta +5%Permitta · 1 map
NukePermitta pick
33%44%
Mai Tai · 5 mapsedge Permitta +11%Permitta · 5 maps
AnubisMai Tai ban
33%63%
Mai Tai · 5 mapsedge Permitta +30%Permitta · 4 maps
CacheMai Tai ban
50%67%
Mai Tai · 4 mapsedge Permitta +17%Permitta · 5 maps
Dust2Permitta ban
38%33%
Mai Tai · 4 mapsedge Mai Tai +5%Permitta · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMai Tai remove Anubis
2. BanPermitta remove Dust2
3. PickMai Tai take Mirage
4. PickPermitta take Nuke
5. BanPermitta remove Ancient
6. BanMai Tai remove Cache
DeciderDefault (35% / 40%)